Option ARM Reset Payments to Explode with Devastating Consequences
The U.S. federal government and states are beginning to prepare themselves for the next foreclosure crisis in our housing malaise – payment option ARM resets are about to explode with devastating consequences. Words: 529
Option ARMs are considered one of the riskiest loans made during the housing boom and have left many borrowers owing much more than their homes are actually worth. These underwater mortgages have and will continue to be the driving force behind defaults and foreclosures in 2010 and 2011.
Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com, provides below further reformatted and edited [..] excerpts from Ian Cooper’s (www.wealthdaily.com) original article* for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. Cooper goes on to say:
The truth of the matter is that the amount of debt wrapped up in these Option ARMs is much worse than that of subprime and if the government or the banks fail to understand this, the second round we’ve been warning about will begin and banking instability will wreak havoc yet again.
Option ARM resets will be tougher for the economy to handle than subprime and, as a result, we will see greater numbers of bank failures, job losses, foreclosures, delinquencies, and economic hardships. Honest.
Just as 2007 and 2008 were the years of subprime woes, this one will go down as the year of Option ARM resets (or adjustable rate mortgage resets). With billions in Option ARM resets scheduled to take place in 2010, this crisis is about to unleash a fury no one’s prepared for.
This crisis won’t be as bad as subprime, of course. It’ll be worse because:
a) lenders created these ARMs with “teaser” features for borrowers, which included making lower minimal payments for the first few years before the loan reset to a higher payment schedule and
b) if that weren’t bad enough, there was another feature called “negative amortization,” which meant you weren’t paying back any principal. In fact, with negative amortization loans, your loan balance increased over time. Incredulously, every time you made a payment, you owed the bank even more. These are the loans that allowed consumers to buy houses they couldn’t otherwise afford.
What should concern you is that about $750 billion worth of option adjustable mortgages (option ARMs) were issued between 2004 and 2007. . . and will begin resetting shortly. Banks like Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase, and Wells Fargo are in for a rough ride as a result, given their exposure to option ARMs.
The next phase of the real estate disaster is upon us. It’s just shifted from subprime to Option ARM and with many economists predicting unemployment will stay in the double digits, foreclosures will only accelerate, which will add to bank losses, which will add pressure to the financial system and broader economy.
*http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-next-ticking-time-bomb/1997 (Wealth Daily is where 6,723 brokers & analysts turn to for investment ideas. Sign up for their free Wealth Daily e-Letter.)
Editor’s Note:
- The above article consists of reformatted edited excerpts from the original for the sake of brevity, clarity and to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered.
- Permission to reprint in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.
Short URL: http://www.veteranstoday.com/?p=39306
Posted by Lorimer Wilson on Jul 8 2010, With 0 Reads, Filed under Living, Personal Finance. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. Both comments and pings are currently closed.
COMMENTS
To post, we ask that you login using Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, or Hotmail in the box below.Don't have a social network account? Register and Login direct with VT and post.
Before you post, read our Comment Policy - Feedback
FACEBOOK
TWITTER
























Less banks means that the remaining banks have far more power. Also the big elephant in the room is commerical property, these are usually five year loans and the amount the property is worth is now hugely less than when the loan was taken out in the boom, banks holding these loans can not even roll them over because there is going to be huge facancies in commerical properties for years due to unemployment numbers so the owners can not pay their payments.
The large banks packaging mortgage-backed securities are guilty as sin, yet ARMs are a form of gambling, pure and simple, based upon expectations of ever increasing home values directly resulting from an inflationary, government created moral hazard. Banks anticipated that inflation would result in higher home prices ad infinitum, guaranteeing their collateral, while home buyers assumed their gamble was in investment. Virtually all the financial crimes committed stem from inflation, or “stealth tax,” in which purchasing power is robbed from wage earners and particularly savers, year in and year out. The need to insure against the confiscation of wealth through inflation has led to the need to obtain a return on investment that exceeds the rate of inflation, and naturally people sought such relief through home ownership. Millions of home-buyer investors lost out, but so did those who listened to the utter b.s. of “investment advisors” playing on the aura of credentialism with those phony letters behind their name, like CFA (Certified Financial Advisor), etc., where the local con artists in your town took a course or two, sat for an exam, and were given a license to con their family, friends, and neighbors to entrust their money to their care.
The gist of countless books on the subject of “investment advisor” performance makes it clear that, on average, these frauds statistically must under-perform the market to the extent of their fee, usually 2% of assets under management for rubes on Main Street, which when compounded amounts to theft when compared with investing in simple index funds with negligible management fees. If you miss the point of this, their services are therefore worth less than nothing. These are the cruds we used to call “stock brokers,” who still dress in Brooks Brothers’ costume and work in faux-posh offices giving the appearance of substance where none exists. When I was invited for an interview by Morgan Stanley Dean Witter some years ago, I was shocked by the discussions I had with the manager about fleecing clients by touting mutual funds that had the highest built-in fees. Even more disturbing was his recommendation to start building one’s “book” by preying upon family members, mining college alumni groups, one’s church, former business associates, etc. If what’s going here isn’t clear, suffice it to say that the product is unsellable without hard-core training in psychological manipulation of the mark in which the con artist abuses the trust of those most entitled to it. Anybody who calls an investment advisor out of the clear blue is a fool. They know no more about the market than you do if you follow it, and couldn’t get a call back from the mail room at their headquarters. They’re the bottom of the barrel on Wall Street. They take credit for “making” money when times are good–as any ten-year-old could–and blame the market when they lose your life’s savings. My guess is that the predatory banks trained their salesmen (“bankers”) in these same techniques and those “bankers” were and remain as uninformed as your investment advisor.
As for the subprime meltdown, it was a moral hazard on a staggering scale, and the direct result of a leftist political agenda stemming from the Community Redevelopment Act; a report of the Boston Fed on redlining now known to be utterly bogus; and, not least, the actions of Barney Frank, whose live-in “spouse”, as Frank referred to him, Herb Moses, redefined the criteria for judging creditworthiness. The “Four C’s” of banking, that is, credit, collateral, capacity, and character, which are the basis for any sound loan, were deemed a violation of civil rights, and the floodgates of taxpayer money went flowing to those who had no credit, no collateral, no capacity to repay, and no evidence of moral character. It is no stretch, therefore, to say that our government is a moral evil, promoting vice as it does by inducing gambling by those unable to afford the loss, while punishing virtue in the form of saving and thrift through inflation. The government intends to confiscate wealth through inflation, pass it into the hands of the financial cabal and parasitic, captive voting blocks on the dole, and productive Americans now have nowhere to turn to protect what they’ve virtuously saved. Those who were purely gamblers in the housing free-for-all deserve no sympathy. The reality, however, is that in nearly all those foreclosed homes, you’d see the wreckage of dreams left about on the floor, children’s play things in the backyard, while Barney Frank, Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Christopher Dodd, and the complicit Republicans wring their hands over cocktails and feasts from Whole Foods at their summer homes. We can’t even “vote the bums out” since only those pre-selected by the media to do more of the same can pass the media vetting and become candidates in the first place.