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CLINTON BASTIN: NUCLEAR IRAN A FALSEHOOD

UNITED STATES ASSESSMENTS OF NUCLEAR WEAPON THREATS: A MAJOR PROBLEM

“If all went well, Iran could have a nuclear weapon in about ten years that could be delivered by a truck or large airplane but not an Iranian missile.”

By Clinton Bastin for Veterans Today

The United States makes  false claims of nuclear weapon threats in other nations because US government officials and others do not understand nuclear materials’ and weapons’ production technology and are unwilling to rely on information from those who do.  They also do not appreciate the importance of nuclear power to reduce use of fossil fuels.   Virtually all information about nuclear weapons from US officials, news media and others is  wrong.
False claims of nuclear weapon threats  from important,  fully safeguarded nuclear power programs such as those in Iran

• undermine international safeguards  the only assurance nations have that their neighbors are not making nuclear weapons,
• lead to dangerous conflicts between nations,
• preclude effective negotiations to resolve conflicts and disagreements
• deter and delay nuclear power needed for transition from overuse of oil.

All US nuclear programs for production of nuclear weapons were managed by chemical companies and directed by US government chemical engineers.   These engineers would meet each year to prepare top secret nuclear weapon production schedules that would be signed by The President to authorize production of all the weapons that could be made – needed or not.  They would also meet with managers, scientists and engineers of weapons’ laboratories to learn about advanced weapon designs.  Some of these engineers made assessments for national security agencies of weapon threats from nuclear programs in other nations and directed US nonproliferation initiatives.  They also provided for use by IAEA inspectors lists of equipment and processes that might – or might not – indicate weapon-related activities, which has greatly compounded the problem.

All chemical companies who managed and all chemical engineers who directed nuclear weapon programs have left the DOE.  Despite highest priority and available information that should have been used for success,  the DOE in 1992 failed its mission to build a new reactor to produce nuclear materials for defense, space exploration and other important national programs.  It subsequently lost ability to produce these materials.

The DOE also lost ability to accurately assess nuclear weapon threats.  Scientists in non government institutes and others who do not understand basic concepts of nor the technology to produce nuclear weapons provide information to the news media about nuclear weapons.

David Albright, a physicist, former colleague, president of the non government Institute for Science and International Security in Washington and a former consultant for IAEA inspectors, is recognized by the US news media as an expert on nuclear weapons but is not.  I called David several months ago to correct inaccurate information attributed to him by New York Times reporter William J. Broad.   I also mentioned that Pakistan probably did not have many nuclear weapons because gun-type weapons require about 100 pounds of highly enriched uranium.  David said that he had seen drawings of Pakistan’s weapons and they had solid cores but were implosion, not gun-type.  With that statement, I  realized that David did not understand basic concepts of nuclear weapons.

Iran’s plans and commitment for fully safeguarded nuclear power began in 1970 when the United States, then Iran’s important ally, lost the ability to recover enough oil to meet demands.  Leaders of both nations recognized that world ability to recover enough oil to meet world demands would be lost in a few decades unless there  were major reductions in use.  Iran signed the  NonProliferation Treaty, ordered five large nuclear power plants from US vendors and was promised (inappropriate) reprocessing technology by the US Department of  State.  The plans were interrupted when President Richard Nixon upheld the Atomic Energy Commission decision to deny promised technology.  Iran cancelled the nuclear power plant orders with US vendors and ordered them from France and Germany, who agreed to supply needed technology.

The Islamic Revolution interrupted Iran’s plans again, but not its recognition of the importance of nuclear power.  Iran’s first nuclear power plant, built with Russian help in the southern port city of Bushehr, is almost ready to begin operation

Because of the past denial of promised nuclear fuel cycle technology, Iran is understandably reluctant to rely  on another nation for continuous supply of low enriched uranium needed for nuclear fuel.

Iran’s leaders know that any action toward building a bomb would be quickly known by the world and justify a military attack on important nuclear power facilities.  They also know that a nuclear weapon would be of no value for Iran’s security or other interests and have clearly stated their intent not to build one.

To make a nuclear weapon, Iran would begin by diverting at least two tons of low enriched uranium hexaflouride gas from fully safeguarded, carefully measured inventories.  Other nations would know about the diversion, which would be  easily and quickly detected by International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors.  If any  nuclear facilities survived the certain attack, Iran would try to further enrich the gas.  But these facilities are not configured for higher enrichment and had earlier processing problems.

If further enrichment was successful, the most dangerous and difficult operations would begin. The highly enriched uranium gas would be converted to metal and weapon components would be fabricated  and assembled with high explosives for a weapon.  These processes have never been used in Iran and facilities for their use almost certainly do not exist.

Potential for a deadly criticality accident in each operation is high.  Assembling metal components with high explosives could result in a nuclear explosion unless done with great care.

The final step would be providing heavy containment to obtain a significant yield.

If all went well, Iran could have a nuclear weapon in about ten years that could be delivered by a truck or large airplane but not an Iranian missile.

Israeli  Prime Minister  Benjamin Netanyahu and Consul-General Reda Mansour in Atlanta, US officials and others  have been told about the long time and difficulties Iran would encounter with an attempt to build a nuclear weapon. Israel’s leaders have stopped making threats against Iran’s nuclear power facilities, but US political leaders, news media and others continue to support sanctions against Iran’s nuclear power programs that will be of no value but will prevent cooperation with Iran to resolve problems and end conflicts and terrorism in the Middle East.

United States and United Nations officials should:

• explain to all nations that Iran’s nuclear power programs are not a nuclear weapon threat
• encourage leaders of Iran, Israel and Arab nations to form a multinational corporation to operate a regional facility in Iran to supply low enriched uranium for nuclear power in the Middle East.
• provide technical assistance to assure safe and successful enrichment facility operation.

A final note: The inability of the DOE to produce nuclear materials and assess nuclear weapon threats in other nations is one of many adverse consequences of U.S. reliance, unique in the world, on a large, politically-dominated federal department to direct and manage policies and programs for complex nuclear and energy technology that is vital to its citizens’ economic well-being.  Changes should be made based on lessons learned  from experiences with nuclear and energy technology since 1942.

Clinton Bastin: (Chemical Engineer/Nuclear Scientist, US Department of Energy – Retired) directed US programs for safe and successful production of nuclear materials and weapons and development of gas centrifuge technology and the successful US nonproliferation initiative with India.  He advised US national security agencies on proliferation threats in other nations and was a lead consultant to the IAEA for its study of Regional Nuclear Fuel Cycle Centers.

Clinton Bastin

  • Vice President for the United States of the World Council of Nuclear Workers
  • Chair of the Georgia Section of the American Nuclear Society
  • Clinton Bastin, a chemical engineering graduate of Georgia Tech (1950), is listed in Who’s Who in Engineering – Ninth Edition, is President of the Kiwanis Club of Northlake Golden K, Vice President for the United States of the World Council of Nuclear Workers, and Chair of the Georgia Section of the American Nuclear Society.

He writes and talks to community groups and others about energy, the environment, national and global security aspects of nuclear technology and materials, and improved human interactions through partnerships.

He worked for the US Department of Energy for more than 40 years in roles ranging from manager for nuclear programs, US coordinator for collaborative nuclear research, technology exchange, and nonproliferation initiatives with other nations and the International Atomic Energy Agency.

Clinton Bastin was in the US Marine Corps during World War II.


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Posted by on Jan 7 2011, With 0 Reads, Filed under 9/11, WarZone. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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15 Comments for “CLINTON BASTIN: NUCLEAR IRAN A FALSEHOOD”

  1. Obama administration knows for fact that Iran under Islamic regime poses no threat to US security even if Tehran acquire a couple of hundreds of crude nuclear bombs nor the rest of G5+1 stupid enough to fear Iran. It’s the Zionist-regime which is exploiting this issue to keep Washington developing a friendly relations with Tehran.

    Gary Samor, Obama’s White House adviser on Iran’s nuclear program and Brookings’ Bruce Reidel had prepared an 18-month study for the joint Zionist think tanks Brookings-CFR during 2007-08. It described in details how the next president (Barack Obama) should stop or set-back Iran’s nuclear program in order to maintain Israel’s nuclear monopoly in the Muslim heartland. It was Samor who sold to IAEA and Russia the idea of Iran’s low-enriched uranium being shipped to Russia for conversion into more highly-enriched fuel rods – during his Obama’s visit to Moscow. Thus setting back Iranian breakout capability for a few years.

    http://rehmat1.wordpress.com/2009/12/13/israel-behind-us-iran-nuclear-conflict/

  2. Israeli Mossad’s top assassin, Gen. Meir Dagan in a briefing on his retirement has warned the Zionist regime that attacking the Islamic Republic, before Israel is under attack, would be a fatal mistake (especially without the active participation of the US forces).

    “Israel should not hasten to attack Iran, doing so only when the sword is upon its neck,” said Dagan.

    Dagan also repeated his earlier prediction that the Islamic Republic will not be able to produce its first nuclear bomb before 2015. In 2009, Dagan told Jewish lawmakers that Iran could have its first nuclear warhead in 2014, but that could be delayed by the ‘crippling sanctions’ and covert sabotage activities – for which Tehran has blamed Israel, Britain and the US. Last month, Iran executed Ali Akbar Siadat, for passing Iranian military secrets to Mossad for US$60,000. As part of Jewish ‘vengeance’, Mossad murdered Iranian Gen. Ali Reza Asgari in Israel’s Ayalon prison.

    Several Western intelligence agencies are also of the opinion that Iran could acquire the ‘capability’ to produce nuclear weapon by the middle of the decade if it continues its enrichment policy. This supports Benji Netanyahu’s public circumspection – echoing louder misgivings voiced by Ben-Obama administration about resorting to force against Iran, which while denies seeking nuclear arms and has vowed to retaliate against Israel and US interests if attacked by either of them.

    The reputed investigating reporter, Wayne Madsen has claimed that CIA has boosted-up it espionage activities in both Turkey and Brazil for their support for Tehran’s right for its civilian nuclear program and their refusal to follow Washington’s stand on UN sanctions against Tehran.

    American investigating reporter, Robert Drefuss has claimed that Obama is thinking of allowing Tehran to continue enriching uranium a part of the new proposal during the coming meeting between the so-called P5+1 and Tehran in Istanbul on January 24, 2011. In return Iran will agree to export the bulk of its enriched uranium for processing outside the country, most likely in Russia, where part of it will be transformed into fuel rods for use in the Tehran Research Reactor (TRR), which is used for medical purposes, and part of it will be reprocessed into fuel for the Russian-built nuclear plant at Bushehr, which recently started up.

    While the Zionist entity is trying its best to stop Iran achieving the ‘nuclear capability’ – Ben-Obama administration fears that if pushed further, Iran’s Spiritual Leader, Ayatullah Ali Khamenei, on the demand of both conservative and reformist lawmakers, may decide to pull Iran out of the NPT. If that happens, like Israel, India and Pakistan – Iran could pursue its military nuclear ambitions openly.

    Personally, I believe Tehran must keep its enriched uranium stock inside the country and develop a few nuclear bombs as deterrent against the Zionist bullies.

    http://rehmat1.wordpress.com/2011/01/09/dagan-we-better-not-attack-iran/

  3. Iran has once and again told the world that it is not interested in building AMS. The problem in Middle East and the World is Israel and the USA-NATO.

    They are the main responsible for the turmoil created to destabilize the region in order to reshape the geopolitical map to the sole benefit of Israel.

    The USA is played and manipulated like a 5 year child by the shrewd and unscrupulous Zion Talmudic Mafia Dons, residing in Tel Aviv-London and Antwerp.

    It’s beyond any logical thinking to give the FEDERAL RESERVE the undisputed right to print money and LEND IT at variable interest rates to the Federal Govt… Only a mad or complicit Nation-Politicians accept such submission and giving away of a fundamental SOVEREIGN

  4. I believe Mr. Bastin is being too kind to our elected things in assuming they are ignorant about the assessment. They know full well that there is no threat with Iran but want a war so bad they can taste it. Remember that list GW Bush had called the “axis of evil”. All of the so-called “bad guys” have not been vanquished yet. If they do not commit an act of terrorism, one will be fabricated. Google the history of false flag attacks. It’s SOP.

  5. It appears, we must be careful when offering nuclear power as a solution to our energy needs…there is still no viable solution to transporting, storing and securing nuclear waste or fuel….depleted uranium derived from spent fuel is now used to build bullets and bombs that have contaminated our soldiers and the countries such as Iraq and Afghanistan. The new ‘agent orange’. I, for one, do not want to support a ‘nuclear priesthood’ to operate and secure such a dangerous fuel…there are other solutions to our energy needs. Europe has ‘waste storage
    buildings’ sitting on concrete slabs and will need to be secured ‘forever’. A long time. Not in my backyard or State for that matter. Doug

  6. Somewhere today I read that Israel says Iran can’t be “nuclear” before 2015, so maybe there’s some reprieve.

    • Trevor, Israel has been crying wolf on the Iran nukes for years. I am surprised that the age old bogey man scam has lasted this long, but the US is dirty dancing with them on the hype.

      Clinton gave me a detailed interview on the centrifuging process and the media hype story came down like a WWI helium ballon. The facilities for making the low enriched uranium cannot make highly enriched stuff on the ‘secret third shift’, or on the weekend. The facility cannot even be converted over.

      Weapons grade material requires a facility totally dedicated just for that, and it is a very complex and dangerous engineering one as the the process is done in stages which run continously as the concentrations increase…an extremely delicate flow balance has to be maintained. There are no small accidents with this stuff.

      And as Clinton says in his piece, there is no way they could be running a weapons grade facility without our knowing it, and the Iranians know that. I was kind of shocked, figuring that lot of others in the trade must realize this too, but are just keeping mum about it while the public gets hosed on another scam. But this time we are much much broker that the last time, and with world economies teetering that long oil spike could tip back down the skids.

      And lastly, an Iran nuke is not threat, and our people know that, as it would only be a potential deterrent. What this whole scam is about is that Israel does not want any of these countries to have any relatiation ability for a pre-emptive strike. Israel is clearly the aggressor, and always have been from their earlies terrorist org operations.

    • “…so maybe there’s some reprieve”. Reprieve from exactly what, stevor? From THE BOOGYMAN??? But The Boogyman has always existed, and most likely always will, both as a figment of febrile imagination, and as a weapon in the armoury of “CONTROL”.

      As an adult, it’s down to you to stop looking under your bed, and checking your closet at night :)

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