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FRANKLIN LAMB : WHY HEZBOLLAH WALKED

“ In case no one has noticed, the Obama administration just gifted Lebanon to Iran. Washington earlier presented Iraq,  Afghanistan, the Gulf,  and Pakistan. Could it be more clear that Iran’s strategic trump card is America’s subservience  to Israel?  For Iran, Israel’s strangle hold on the US government is the gift that keeps on giving.”  With this comment, my neighbor, Lebanese Human Rights Ambassador Ali Khalil, declared American hegemony in the region was on a slippery and descending slope and that yesterday’s political maneuvering in Lebanon likely accelerated American withdrawal .

My other neighbors in South Beirut appeared to go to bed early last night following the day’s events which saw the collapse of Lebanon’s US-Saudi and Israeli backed government. Some, like my American and Lebanese roommates were planning for quick evacuations  should our Hezbollah neighborhood-watch guys give us that special knock on the door. Two rapid raps and a shouted “Yalla!” (Let’s go) and it’s time to head north fast without looking back. The reason is because, like many here, some neighbors fear Israel might use this latest government crisis to invade Lebanon again.

Yesterday, our  “government” electricity (and internet) was cut from 10 a.m. until  2 p.m. and again from 6 p.m. to midnight.   At least ten hour daily power cuts is the norm south and north of the  pro-US/Saudi Hamra “chic” district, where three hours or less daily power cuts are experienced.  Spending lots of hours in candle light probably made the unsubstantiated rumors even more unsettling.  “The armed forces of Lebanon, Hezbollah and its allies, Turkey, Syria, Jordan, Israel and Iran are on military alert. The Americans may send battalions from Iraq!”, The young man who works in the phone shop near my flat whispered. I could not help noticing that some of the young men normally hanging out in our hood seemed to have vanished. Even my phone card guy was impatient with me wanting to recharge my phone, “ please hurry”, he said, ”I have an appointment and need to close my shop.”

The assassination of Prime Minister Rafik Hariri

The current government crisis has its origins in the February 14, 2005 Valentine’s Day murder of Lebanon’s prime minister Rafic Hariri and 20 others.  The Bush administration declared Syria  responsible and saw an opportunity to force the Assad regime to drop its friendship with Washington’s  regional nemesis Iran, and to end its support for the National Lebanese Resistance led by Hezbollah.

One of Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice’s State Department lawyers came up with the idea to use the  UN Security Council to set up a Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) to try Hariri’s killers and to hammer Syria into warming to Israel and to US projects for the region.

What was not considered at the time, but later became a godsend from the points of view of Israel and the Bush administration was  leaked STL  information claiming that Hezbollah members might also be involved in the assassination. Hardly believing, one imagines, their really good luck, Israel and the US abruptly changed directions and decided to use the newly formed Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) to rid themselves of Hezbollah once and for all as well as to correct Syria’s behavior, believing that the Syrian government would also be indicted.

The pressure on Hezbollah caused the party to condemn what it claims is  false witnesses and it strongly urged the Lebanese government to open a case against them and not allow the STL, which it and others believe has became fatally politicized  by  rushing to judgment,  to receive Lebanese government cooperation. Hezbollah’s  adversaries hailed the tribunal  even if Lebanon’s stability was endangered.  After nearly fourteen months of trying to get the Saad Hariri government to seriously reconsider its positions on the STL, the Hezbollah led opposition gave the majority an ultimatum either to call a cabinet meeting by January 12, 2011 to discuss the STL or the opposition Cabinet members would resign.  What Hezbollah and its allies wanted was for PM Hariri to convene a Cabinet session to consider whether to stop payment of Lebanon’s  49 percent share of the financing of the STL,  whether to withdraw the Lebanese judges from the tribunal, consider ending  all cooperation with the STL, and prosecuting  the “false witnesses” it claimed was linked to the UN probe into Rafik Hariri’s killing.

Under enormous pressure from Washington, Paris and Riyadh , Saad  balked.  The opposition quickly resigned. Under article 69 the Lebanese Constitution, the resignation of one-third plus one of Cabinet members automatically leads to the collapse of the 30-member government.  It was the first time in Lebanon’s politically turbulent history that a government collapsed under pressure of the resignations of one-third plus one of its members.

In order to secure the eleventh cabinet resignation, to add to Hezbollah’s ten, in order to bring down the pro-US government, Hezbollah Secretary General  Hassan Nasrallah’s  key political aide Hussein Khalil, called President Suleiman’s Cabinet designee, Sayyed Hussein.  Khalil reportedly conveyed Nasrallah’s greetings and his hope that Hussein would decide what to do based on his conscience.  Hussein’s resignation quickly followed and Hariri’s Premiership ended as he sat with President Obama at the White House.

What the toppling of the Hariri government means for the near term

Regional players reacted more or less predictably with the US accusing Iran, Syria and Hezbollah of ‘blackmail’, the French warning Syria that is would be held to account if there is  violence in Lebanon and the British warning of long term dangers. British Foreign Secretary William Hague said in a statement: “This is an extremely serious development which could have grave implications for Lebanon and for regional stability.”  One British diplomat added last this evening, “Good Grief, however can we resolve this problem anytime soon?”

Israeli Foreign Ministry officials said they were “carefully following events” in Lebanon following the resignations and that “The Lebanese understand that an attempt by extremist to disturb the peace may turn out as a perilous gamble,”  according to Israeli  TV Channel 10.  Israel is being accused today in Lebanon of trying to provoke strife and to gain advantage from the governmental crisis.  Yesterday after  kidnapping Sharbel Khoury, a shepherd from near Rmeish (he was released 24 hours later) the Israel navy also entered Lebanese waters along the coast.  This afternoon (1/13/10)  Israeli warplanes overflew Baalbek, Nabatiyeh and Marjayoun. These incursions constituted Israel’s 7,269 and 7,270th violation of Lebanese sovereignty since the August 2006 adoption of UN Security Council Resolution 1701 ordering it to stay out of Lebanon.  Several UNIFIL and UN protests have had no effect on Israel while Washington remains mute on the subject of Israeli violations of Lebanese sovereignty.

Free Patriotic Movement member and Hezbollah supporter  Jebran Bassil,  who was Minister of Energy until yesterday, blamed Washington for the fact that  Saudi-Syrian efforts to prevent the resignations, reached a dead end. “The other side bowed to external, especially American pressure, ignoring the advice and wishes of the Saudi and Syrian sides,” Bassil said.

For his part, Progressive Socialist Party (PSP) leader Walid Jumblatt  seemed to agree with the FPM  and he attributed the failure of mediation efforts of Saudi Arabia and Syria to the “forces of darkness,” alluding to leading Western powers, “It appears the forces of darkness got involved and stymied the Syrian-Saudi initiative, through which we would have seen a blocking of the negative repercussion of the STL indictment.”

Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea blamed the rival March 8 camp for seeking what he called “Stalin-like” powers, accusing it of “seeking to steal away the prerogatives of the president and the prime minister.”

What next for Hezbollah?

The Hezbollah led opposition, as a result of the last election, has a majority in the 128-member Parliament, which enables it to name a candidate of its own for prime minister during the president’s soon to be announced binding parliamentary consultations.  At noon on 1/13/10, Hezbollah voting bloc leader MP Mohammed Raad, announced that the opposition will name “a personality with a history of national resistance to head the new government.” Some are speculating that Hezbollah might propose the longtime Sunni leader Omar Karami, a moderate self effacing fellow with strong Syrian, progressive, and popular support.

Whatever it decides to do, Hezbollah may well take its time as its ponders major responsibilities that would envelope  the resistance movement should it decide to govern Lebanon. Some of its supporters are urging Hezbollah to accept the daunting challenge and implement its 2009 Manifesto and its recent election platforms and end the mafia like corruption among some Lebanon’s political leaders. Several Lebanese civil society NGO’s are urging Hezbollah to do more for Lebanon’s increasingly fragile environment, fix once and for all Lebanon’s serious water, electricity and infrastructure problems, and let the Lebanese public decide if Hezbollah  is true to their cause and warrants its future electoral support.

Others continue to  also lobby the party to immediately end Lebanon’s and the Arabs shame and grant Palestinian refugees the internationally mandated basic civil rights to work and to own a home. If Hezbollah heads the government, Palestinian prospects for achieving these elementary rights may be realized sooner rather than later.

Franklin Lamb is doing research in Lebanon and is reachable c/o fplamb@gmail.com

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Posted by on Jan 13 2011, With 0 Reads, Filed under Iran, Israel, Palestine, World. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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19 Comments for “FRANKLIN LAMB : WHY HEZBOLLAH WALKED”

  1. I mean civil war: you wanted the last one and you want the next one for your jewish handlers. I don’t know what you can blog about since don’t seem to even have a high school degree and even less IQ. The important is that they give you a few dollars to make you feel somebody. You should try planting tomatoes. We are talking here about talmudic children serial rapists and killers. That’s important you see.

    • that was EMSERRS who wrote about blogging,not me.you accuse Emssers of being mossad too?
      youre the one who resorts to childish name calling so dont talk about IQ.instead of condemning what amal did to palestinians you simply change the subject.is that because you are lebanese?

  2. Blaming Sunnis/Christians/Jews/Shi’ites/Druze will never get anybody anywhere. You can only address individuals. I thought this piece was very balanced. I also blog about Lebanon (www.emserrs.wordpress.com).

    • You wanted the civil you and your rat faced Kissinger. He said it. Either you are zionist shill or a braindead yankee-donkey.

  3. Samir Geagea also was there if i remember. I must precise that he raped only little boys and that would just unzip his pants while moving towards his victims. He sodomized with his pants on. His “manliness” wellknow to IDF is no doubts the reason israelis voted him as prime minister: the best among his “equa”ls they can be proud of and a bright future for mankind and for pig-faced rat-brain Sharon now rewarded by HELL from his Maker.

    • that is the point.samir geagea and his fighters were not jews.they were arabs.their brutality in sabra and shatila had nothing to do with “talmudic privileges”.
      but even worse than sabra and shatila was “the war of the camps”.between 1985 and 1988 the shia amal militia(today a hezbollah ally) besieged and attacked the palestinian refugee camps in lebanon.thousands of innocent palestinians were killed by them.

      • Mossad rat-cat-jew liar everybody knows the story. Those christian zionist militias were created and paid by Sharon. For disinfo and exhibiting your freudian orogenital retention dysfunction go to Maariv or Jerusalem Post. We smell the jewish skunk from far here.

        • what about amal?also created by sharon?or by syria who ordered them to massacre palestinians in “the war of the camps”?
          look it up.its a known chapter in lebanese history and jews had nothing to do with it.

          • No rationale can wipe out the atrocities committed under the leadership of the now brain-dead Gen ‘CHAROGNE’ (it’s a French word for the butcher of Sabra and Chatila), nor the crimes of Kissinger against the people of Lebanon and Chile.

  4. Samir Geagea also was there if i remember

  5. eyelush:

    as well as control the slaughter,jews did take part in the killing.

    dr nur may not believe jews but jews do.

  6. With out nuclear weapons Lebanon will be under the boot of the new Fourth Reich, Israel/United States.

  7. DEAR FRANKLIN: for the sake of truth and fairness do not accidentally mislead people who don’t know the history of this.1.No Hezbollah was never involved and it was only through fraudulent use of israeli spies controlled Telecom that this was attempted. Hezbollah had nothing to gain from Hariri assassination ,as he was a friend of Hezbollah,and there never was a shred of evidence for it. 2.Hezbollah is not ‘claiming’they were ‘false witnesses’ but the tribunal DID by releasing the generals,after 2 years detention,and who were accused by the false witnesses. The issue is why the STL is not prosecuting the false witnesses paid by France and USA ? For a lawyer living in Lebanon you should not try to do the apology for Israel (and its american subsidiary franchise “lube-boys”) who had everything to gain from the breakup of Lebanon thru the first civil war engineered (by his own memoir confession) via their rat-face Washington in-house machiavel psychopath Kissinger. Of course,they want a 2nd civil war as Hezbollah’s heroic resistance aborted the first one. After that they can do freely what Sharon did no less than 18 times at Sabra and Shatila,and that is sodomize screaming little boys and then shoot them like rabbits from less than a meter away as reported by a dutch (jewish journalist) and his IDF aides. No doubt these are the well deserved talmudic privileges of a member of the chosen rat-brain master-race over a piece of human-face cattle that we are. We know that Lebanon is part of the”greater Israel mythomania” of which i give a history below. Please don’t play the Amerisrael fantasy game for them unless of course they supply your pocket money for your phone card..

    • dr.nur,a jewish journalist said all that?
      but you wrote before that you dont believe jews…
      and it is also known that the lebanese christian militias did the actual massacre in sabra and shatila to avenge the murder of bashir jumayel.

    • Nomen est Omen
      For you non semites: Nur = Light

    • Another excellent piece by Dr Franklin Lamb, so thank you very much for keeping us informed of the facts. As far as Dr Nur B.S is concerned & its load of that, it stank the entire forum. nay, entire globe, any one with two brain cells & regional knowledge will not only laugh but feel embarrassed at his attempt to discredit Hizbullah as its so lame that it won’t hold any where.

      Thanks once again Dr Lamb for your excellent articles, we all enjoy your writing; Hizbullah are surely world heroes as it has given Zionists a bloody nose a few times now; It may just completely sort that problem this time round if they dare to attack.

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