The Coup In Cairo


By Michael Shrimpton

The Arab Spring is over.  Perhaps we should now be talking about the Arab Fall, in more senses than one.  I do not believe that Hillary Clinton knew about the coup in advance.  Whilst we have our political differences she is both the nicer and smarter of the Clintons and her commitment to democracy is undoubtedly genuine. 

She is bound to have misgivings over Morsi’s seizure of plenary powers in Cairo, which has echoes of the seizure of power by Germany’s Colonel (perhaps it should have been ‘Oberst’) Nasser.

I am less sanguine about Obama. I suspect he green-lighted the coup – there is too much US taxpayers cash propping up Egypt for Morsi not to have cleared the coup in advance with the White House.  The proof of the pudding, as we say in England, will be the eating.  If US cash is withdrawn then we will know that the Obama White House is serious about democracy in the Middle East.  With Iraq now an Iranian client state the coup leaves Israel as once again the only functioning democracy in the region.

Say what you like about those nice chaps President George W Bush and Vice-President Dick Cheney, (and many have) their commitment to bringing democracy to the Middle East was genuine.  They would not have stood by whilst Syria slid into civil war, nor would they have backed off Libya, as Obama did, presumably in the hope that Gaddafi could hang on.  Obama’s apparent support for the coup will have sent a shock-wave throughout the Middle East.

The coup would have taken some time to plan and was clearly backed by Germany.  The silence from the EU has been deafening.  It looks as though Morsi agreed the timing of the stepped up rocket assault on Israel with both Hamas and Obama, the idea being that an Egyptian-brokered hudna would provide diplomatic cover for his seizure of power.  I respectfully agree with Egypt’s senior judiciary that the powers Morsi has taken are unprecedented.  He has promised to hand them back, but then so did Hitler, Mussolini and Nasser.

Will Jordan be next?  We know that Germany has long wanted to topple the Hashemite monarchy, just as she did the Hashemite monarchy in Iraq (the DVD again – they are very experienced when it comes to staging coups).  Other stable monarchies in the region, notably Bahrain, have already come under pressure.  Oil prices would soon follow.  We now know that Germany was behind the Oil Price Shock in 1973 and that strangling Western energy supplies has been one of her key strategic aims since Britain launched the first turbine-powered battleship in 1906.

There is not much point hoping that Egypt’s courageous pro-democracy activists will be able to topple the Muslim Brotherhood dictatorship.   Egypt’s police have even lower professional standards than Thames Valley!  Just as the Italians were only able to offload Mussolini after the Allies invaded Italy and the French could only get rid of Pétain after D-Day, so the Egyptians will only be able to offload Morsi after an invasion.  The sensible response would be for Israel to declare war on Egypt, and for Britain to join her, as in ’56.   Time for the RAF to be bombing Cairo again.

Instead of letting German political assets such as Eisenhower and Macmillan stuff things up, as we did in ‘56/7, we should make sure that the war is prosecuted until Egypt’s unconditional surrender.  Israel should recover the Sinai and formally take sovereignty over the Gaza Strip, which would permanently sever the arms supply routes into Gaza from Egypt and Iran.  We should annex the Suez Canal Zone and reverse the humiliation of Nasser’s seizure of the canal, i.e. we should seize it back.  With British troops back, it would literally become a comfort Zone for Israel, securing her southern flank.

The UN would be bound to complain but they can go and get stuffed, with respect.  It’s high time the UN were given a good smack anyway.  Of course Obama would do his nut, but he is anti-British anyway, with respect.  The reality is that there will be no worthwhile Anglo-American co-operation for the next four years, assuming he is not forced out by the Electoral College or US courts on the ground of his birth in the Coastal Protectorate.  Since he does not appear to favour democracy or stability in the Middle East the Administration’s aims and Britain’s have diverged sharply.

The logical thing to do would be to restore the monarchy, the only legitimate rulers Egypt has had for centuries.  We should have gone to the aid of King Farouk when the Germans toppled him, but of course poor old Churchill was kept in the dark about the DVD and thought that Nasser and his fellow officers (Nasser did not seize power directly) were Egyptian nationalists.

Mention of Jordan brings me to the Abu Qatada scandal, Qatada being an alias.  Judicially determined to be an al Qaeda terrorist he belongs in a death cell in Amman.  The reason he is not is that terrorists’ charter, the European Convention on Human Rights.  His trial in Jordan was entirely fair (he absented himself, but that was his decision) and the death sentence perfectly proper. It should have been respected by the British courts and Qatada returned for execution of sentence.  If legal systems want respect they should respect the legal systems of other countries, as a matter of comity.  Mr. Justice Mitting, sounding in the ECHR, allowed his appeal against deportation and granted him bail, sending a shockwave thru Britain (he is a perfectly nice judge, with respect, and was very courteous towards me when I was appeared in front of him earlier this year, albeit His Lordship is thought by some, with respect, to have some odd views on the death penalty).

Unfortunately for our legal system this coincided with the draconian sentence of 18months imprisonment handed down to Sgt. Danny Nightingale, of the SAS, for the non-crime of possessing a Glock gifted to him by the Iraqis, about which he had forgotten.  Sadly Danny, who has done good work in the Holy Crusade Against Evil which is the Global War on Terror, nearly died (his temperature went over 110, which as any paramedic will tell you usually means DOA) on a charity run in Brazil, a 132 mile charity run.  Hopefully he will be released when the Lord Chief, a judge appropriately enough named Judge, hears his appeal against sentence this week.  Igor Judge, with respect, is a very sound tribunal.  It has been very touching, by the way, to see the support for Danny from within your excellent Delta Force.

This latest travesty of justice, with respect to the court of first instance, is again down to the ‘Terrorists Charter.’  Thanks to Strasbourg our entire and much-respected system of military justice was swept away.  Courts martial are now controlled by civilian judges, and prosecutions are in the hand of the Service Prosecuting Authority, modelled on the failed Crown Prosecution Service and if anything even more of a disaster.  There are two major problems with this, apart from the fact the new system was rammed down our throats by Europe and lacks democratic legitimacy.

Firstly civilian ethical and professional standards are generally lower than the military’s.  No military prosecutor would have continued commenced the prosecution against Sgt. Nightingale, let alone continued it once the medical evidence of brain damage was in.  Secondly civilian judges lack military experience.  Although they have military assessors this safeguard isn’t much use if the assessors in a special forces case lack special forces expertise, this case.

The miscarriage of justice has further damaged the reputation of the Royal Military Police, who have had a bad War on Terror.  Their professional standards if anything now seem to have slipped below those of Thames Valley Police, i.e. they are in a race to the bottom.  They recently arrested several Royal Marines for murder without having first studied the autopsy report, a very basic and very major professional failing.  Not only should Sgt. Nightingale be acquitted on appeal, proper courts martial should be restored, the RMP given competent new leadership, and we should denounce the ECHR.

I was right about Kevin Pietersen.  The only England batsman the Indians truly fear, he thrashed them today on a spinning wicket for a glorious 186.  India were 117-7 at the close.

We in England were truly saddened to learn this week of the death of the great American actor, Larry Hagman.  A wonderful man, he will always be remembered over here not just for his fine performances in Dallas, but his memorable, tragi-comic portrayal of Colonel Clarence E. Pitts in the The Eagle Has Landed, a special forces movie which attracted plaudits from no less than authority than Admiral Wilhelm Canaris – covertly of course, since Herr Admiral had officially been hanged/shot/strangled by the SS over 30 years before.

I am afraid there is still a glitch in the system (nothing to do with me!), so the trolls will have to wait for my responses to their cutting and usually ill-informed remarks.

Michael Shrimpton

November 25th 2012





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21 Comments for “The Coup In Cairo”

  1. Ah, my ‘Submit’ button is back!

    No offense, but there isn’t much here worthy of reply, just the usual troll-type attacks. By Jingo, there was nothing wrong with Biggles! A great example for the young. Bill Johns’ cracking yarns are still a good read for the air-minded boy or girl, full of valuable advice on how to get out of a tight spot, shoot down Germans or deal with unruly gentry.

    In INTELCOM we don’t ban discussion with people who disagree with us, indeed it’s encouraged.

    I would like to think that Gordon and I have mutual respect for each other. That is entirely different from saying that we don’t have to agree to differ on certain subjects. He is not as big a fan of Mossad, e.g., as I am, but so what? He is a major player and he’s been around, so he gets my respect.

    Unlike a troll I try and avoid personalising discussion, or descending to abuse, which is the weakest form or argument. Usually the more hysterical the abuse the more you are building up your target.

    I have very little time for the ANC these days, and I was very upset by the assassination of the cricket journalist Peter Roebuck in Capetown last year, although not as upset as Peter (being assassinated can be very irritating) but as Gordon now knows I have friends in Pretoria!

    I prefer to address points on the merits, whether as an intelligence analyst or as a barrister. As I always told my intel students if you think you’re right and you can back your opinion stick to your guns.

    Non-mainstream views can quickly become mainstream. I remember briefing in NASA a few years ago on the flaws in Einstein’s Theory of Relativity. It was – then – mainstream scientific opinion that you couldn’t go faster than the speed of light, basically because Einstein said so (he did nothing to counter those who said you couldn’t go faster than the speed of sound either). It was all b******s of course and I did say that NASA should have a word with the chaps running the Large Hadron Collider in Switzerland.

    In due course the boys in Switzerland persuaded a couple of helpful sub-atomic particles to trot around their collider faster than the speed of light. Mainstream opinion is now changing, although there are still people in denial (they probably still believe in global warming as well), who think the Hadron boys use Casio wristwatches to measure time.

    Einstein’s ‘error’ was deliberate of course – he was at one time Scientific Adviser to German Intelligence. His greatest wish was that Germany would have the Bomb and nobody else would. Thankfully he was disappointed.

    • I just saw this stuff about Einstein. He was a plagiarist too, stole his best ideas from his girlfriend.

      I agree on non-mainstream ideas that become mainstream. I learned a long time ago, that the “Laws of Physics” aren’t laws; they are merely suggestions. There are many more current laws of science that will wind up in the ashcan.

    • I also have to wonder how many ideas Einstein stole from inventors, while he worked as a clerk at the Patent Office?

  2. Is there any chance that tomorrow’s vote will improve things, rather than make them worse?

  3. Are you on drugs?

    • It’s clear Shrimpton was/is a spook as reflected by his background knowledge of specific things akin to that trade, but when it comes to political analysis, strategic estimations, and moral fiber, Shrimpton is a dud and should qualify his mere rhetoric rather than smother villains with niceties.

      As far as being informed goes, the readers here have destroyed Shrimpton’s credibility with theirs. They are far more accurate and useful than he will ever be — and most of them are mere internet researchers!

      • His bits of tecnical knowledge are typical of a spook-wannabe, but his woeful lack of real historical-political knowledge and analytical skill disqualify him from that record as much as his methods and standards do from the Bar. A low level disinfo asset would be the limit of his potential, no serious intel would go near him with his ludicrous nonsense that does not stand up to a moment’s serious scrutiny.

  4. It has become obvious that Mr. Shrimpton’s columns are one of the following:

    – Mostly code, with snippets of real information hidden within the ultra-reactionary opinion;
    – Black humor (very black, indeed) satire;
    – The ravings of a psychotic;
    – A private joke between Mr Shrimpton and Mr. Duff.

  5. Israel & democracy…pffft

    An oxymoron if i ever heard one!!

  6. This guy must be constantly on acid and have hullacinations.
    Bush, Cheney, Hillary, great democrats, LOL.

  7. I do enjoy reading Shrimppy. He makes me laugh so much.

    This time it started in the first paragraph with the absurd comment about Hilary Clinton being committed to democracy. Maybe she is committed to a version of regulatory democracy that bears a resemblance to totalitariansim but not to one that is freedom based.

    I wonder which “M” the author really works for. There are lots of “M’s”. Far more than MI5 and MI6. And they operate on behalf of a wide range of interests not just uncle Red Shield.

  8. ‘she is both the nicer and smarter of the Clintons and her commitment to democracy is undoubtedly genuine.’

    Well Michael, that puts you in a minority of one. Killary has been, and still is, responsible for the removal of democracy in almost every nation she visits. With the obvious exception of Israel of course, which has never been a true democracy since it’s inception…

  9. A combination of Colonel Blimp, Biggles and 1940’s jingoism with views antithetical to virtually everything that goes up on VT. This is either very poor satire or the expression of serious mental illness. Hard as it may be he should be ignored until he either goes or is taken away.

  10. Bush and cheney are sociopaths and murderers. The fact that he talks about them as some kind of freedom loving do gooders is not even laughable; its horrific. 9/11 is all I have to say.

  11. Michael, if you were a barrister, how come I can’t find evidence of your license anywhere?

    • Franklin Ryckaert

      I can’t find evidence of his licence as Internet-clown either.

    • Rahnameh, you are googling the wrong terms. Try: “Barista London area Starbucks”

    • Even his wiki user page has been deleted. And he operates on the principle of NO EVIDENCE, a convenient one for the deranged or otherwise abnormal spinner of pure fantasy, but not the mark of legal training or practise. There is nothing to prove he is in any way genuine (other than his name, maybe) and a lot that indicates he is a fake. He is certainly a pitiful spectacle and a waste of time.

  12. The war has started,on all levels.
    By the way ,Kevin Pietersen is a south-african,and India’s level of Cricket has been lousy for quite a while now.
    It’s called a “turning” wicket.
    Mr. Schrimp only roots for the “winners”,and still get’s it wrong.
    Either lost his mind or is provocating.

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