The possibility of a full-fledged war between Russia and Turkey has been a talk of the day for conspiracy theorists, analysts, couch warriors and experts on international politics for several weeks already. Turkish President Erdogan threatened that Turkey will not tolerate Russia’s possible attack on its air force.
It is an open secret that guns start shooting only when politicians and diplomats are powerless to stop them from doing it. Yet, let’s assume that a real war sparks between Russia and Turkey (NATO) – what kind of war would it be? What results would it bring?
Politonline.ru discussed the topic with leading military experts that follow various approaches to international armed conflicts.
A leading expert of the Center for Military and Political Studies, Mikhail Alexandrov, is convinced that in case of a real war, Russia will have to use nuclear weapons immediately, because the existence of the nation will be at stake.
“It would be a mistake for Russia not to use nuclear weapons in this case. The West and Turkey will try to drag us into a war such as the Crimean war, where escalation will be slow, combat actions in the Caucasus will erupt, and the Russian group in Syria will be destroyed. The West will be helping Turkey – there will be military units and state-of-the-art aviation deployed there. It will be a war of the wearing-out strategy,” he said.
“From my point of view, should the war with Turkey start, it must be a determined, ambitious and quick war. Russia will have to strike a nuclear blow on main infrastructure and military targets in Turkey immediately – not on cities, of course, where people live, but on headquarters, major centers of communications, ammunition depots, airfields, ports. During the first few hours of this war, Russia must destroy the entire military infrastructure of Turkey,” Mikhail Alexandrov said. “One does not even have to use ballistic missiles in this strike – Iskander-M with nuclear warheads would be enough. As soon as the military infrastructure is destroyed, the Russian troops will go and take the area of the straits,” he added.
“The West will not even have time to do anything. European countries will be so horrified that they will not even dare to intervene. The Americans will face a choice – either they begin a strategic nuclear war against Russia or not. As a result, Russia will take the area of the straits, and the rest will be left to Turkey,” said the expert, explaining that “this is not a cunning plan of the aggressor, but the requested scenario of “what to do if the war breaks out.”
In turn, non-nuclear scenario of a hypothetical possibility, but said the war invalid Politonline.ru deputy head of the Tauride information-analytical center at RISI, Sergey Ermakov, suggested a non-nuclear scenario.
“Hopefully, the real conflict will not happen. Using nuclear weapons is an extreme option. As for a regional war, there are non-military tools in the region. There are many anti-Turkish players in the region. In the case of a military conflict, the Kurds will rip the region to pieces, so for Turkey, a war is a game not even with the zero, but with a negative sum,” he said.
“Turkey is a strong power in military terms, but the county is not strong enough to challenge Russia. Our fleet is capable of striking long-range blows, not even from the Black Sea area. The winner in a modern-day war is the one who uses various forces and a more developed system of combat control. Russia has an advantage at this point – we have the satellite positioning system and the combat direction system that give clear picture in the theater of military operations in real time,” the expert said.
“Of course, aviation will be used. Russia’s airbase in Syria will shorten the flight time to Turkish objects considerably. As a result, Turkey will see threats from different sides,” Sergei Ermakov concluded.
“As for NATO, Turkey is a member of NATO, and the country definitely falls under the fifth article. Yet, given Russia’s military power and Europe’s reluctance to get involved in the conflict (NATO makes decisions by consensus) – all members of the alliance will have to unequivocally agree that NATO would need to stand up against the aggressor. In this case, however, it should be direct aggression бф direct strike that Russia would deliver against Turkey. This is not what Russia is up to,” he concluded.
“If Turkey provokes the conflict, NATO may not resort to the fifth article. Aggression is one thing, but a country asking for a conflict and pulling NATO into it is another thing. In such cases, NATO tries not to get involved,” Sergei Ermakov said.
“No one wants to get involved in a direct military conflict with Russia. This conflict is fraught with a nuclear war and a global tragedy,” he added.
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Posted by GPD on February 9, 2016, With 0 Reads, Filed under WarZone. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.
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12 Responses to "Pravda: Scenarios of real war between Russia and Turkey"
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Never forget that the Khazars were Turks, Uigurs, Ukrainians, and a lot of other thugs. Erdogan is as muslim as I am a flying cow.. See Saudia Arabia´s fake jews like in Israhell. It is always the same, cloak and dagger or hide and stab into the back
That’s a very good analysis of the Chinese. They play it from both sides and ride the fence to see where side is greener. They want a non IMF money but want dearly to sell dollar store junk to the US. They should be helping fight US imperialism in Syria and Yemen, but they are letting Russia do all the heavy lifting for them.
I think there is pretty much zero interest in the minds of the rest of European citizens to ‘protect’ the insane mad dog that is Erdogan. A guy who is openly threatening to ‘bus’ loads of refugees into Europe, most if not all European countries need to also weed out all the filth and corruption inside their own political system. NATO needs to be scrapped the organisation is like some kind of sick joke.
i am so happy to see PEOPLE are starting to wake up to see exactly what is going on.
the obsolete entity known as NATO “NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANISEATION ” should be disbanded as it is now only another
tool for the USA to impose it’s power on other nations.the USA is now under a treasonous RULE BY FORCE group of ZIONIST AMERICAN DUAL CITIZEN “ISRAEL FIRST”WHO ARE ALL COMMITTING TREASON. THOSE WHO KNOW ABOUT THIS ARE GUILTY OF MISPRISION OF TREASON. the US people MUST send these TRAITORS to one of their BLACK HOLE sites and show just what ENHANCED INTERROGATION really is. are you going to allow these non human’s to FORCE you and your children and their children to be BLOWN TO BIT’S so they can make money.to those who are not AWAKE its not too late. peace and justice for ALL . mylo
Mr Ermakov says no one wants to get involved in a direct military conflict with Russia. I wouldn’t be so sure, although I’m one of those conspiracy theorists who looks back to the proved, total rape of the Russian economy led by the almost entirely Jewish “Harvard Mafia” under Larry Summers, which transferred most of Russian assets into the hands of the tribe and accounts for the supposed genius behind Harvard’s endowment growth during the 90s.
Pushback by Russia must be crushed under foot, luring it into wars exhausting Putin’s credibility and allowing the resumption of economic predation. Instead of the voucher scam foisted on the hapless Russians, however, in Europe and the US the same tribe has accomplished about as much by the Fed’s making free loans available to “Wall Street.” In both the case of the IMF guarantees of Harvard’s Russian bond purchases and, in the US, taxpayer bailouts of WS banks, it has been the US taxpayer on the hook for any and all liability, for it all. The ZOG is already at war with Russia, and the tragedy is that Americans cannot see that it declared war on America, too, starting in the ’90s with the Fed/Greenspan counterfeiting the money to buy Clinton a second term for his acquiescence in giving free money to the tribe to do to America what Harvard engineered in Russia.
Our “Russian Partners” are playing a serious game of chess: have been since September last. That requires extreme logic. Erdogan is a moron on a ego trip.
Any logical person can see that. I seriously doubt, given the exemplary way the Russians have conducted themselves, that they need to do anything regarding Turkeys aggression, other than take them to the woodpile for a serious thrashing. Erdogan needs a serious ass whooping and that chicken shit NATO backed (not really) bully will probably get it from Russia. Putin will not go nuclear against this intellectual midget. That would be overkill and that’s not the way of Putin.
The first few minutes global electronics will go silent. Electric power will go off in many cities without probable cause. An impenetrable jamming of all airwaves will pervade the entire spectrum and no radio communications will be possible. During this time all satellites will be hijacked and new controllers will assume ownership.
Armies will start using messenger pigeons to fly to Turkey to figure out what has happened.
Mankind will cease to function as all its toys are electronic based and for once will not know what to do with the extra time on its hands.
Of course the world will be a totally different one when the power comes back on.
Yep, the Kurds would be in play and fully armed, :AK-47’s for EVERYONE”, like they said in C&C Generals. Erdogan can’t fight a civil war at home, and a multi-front war against the CSTO from Russia, Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kirgystan, Tajikistan, and Iran and Syria. Which I am assure will go the limph if war broke out. As for the SCO component, the Chinese probably would only be of political use, Russia would never accept large scale Chinese military moves through its border even to defend it, as the Chinese cannot be trusted, they play for themselves and can quickly change sides if the deal is better on the other side.
The Turks have long caused problems and headaches for everyone, their continued ethnic cleansing to this day of every living thing that isn’t Turkic is disgusting, look at what they have done to Greeks, Cypriots, Serbs and other Slavs (through not only the Ottoman Empire but also Albanians who are Turkic, not the fabled Illyrian Tribe long ago raped out of existence by the Ottomans), Kurds, Armenians, and Arabs. Actively supporting ISIS, Al-Qaeda, and Turkmen Battalions not only in Syria, but in Ukraine, Georgia, and even attempting onto Russia proper in Crimea with the Tatars and Chechnya. The whole world now knows that Erdogan is an insane criminal how aids ISIS and other terrorists while killing Kurds who are only fighting to defend their very existence (even though elements of the Barzani gang have been gambling with their very lives and making tangled alliances). There is no way the Europeans would want to fight on ISIS/Turkey’s side if war erupted. Turkey has the ability to overwhelm Russia in Syria due to its smaller presence, but it would be completely overwhelmed and destroyed if it did so via the Black Sea, and Armenia, Georgia might even be in play to be taken out as well in this scenario. Likely Iskander-M launches, with conventional warheads, P-800 Onix super cruise missiles, 3M14 and 3M54 Kalibr-Klub missiles, and even the behemoth Kh-22 aircraft carrier cutter, a Mach 4.6 2,200lbs air launched anti-ship missile the size of a bus.
if there is any such thing as karma, Russia won’t have to wage war against turkey at all, just send plenty of arms into turkey for dissenters to become “freedom fighters” might sound a little familiar maybe? they might start with destruction of OIL facilities to help defund the tyrannic regime, put ankara under siege etc.
Finally someone who’s thinking, to save the world from a possible WWIII, since NATO/GCC/Commonwealth elites do everything to start it, Moscow’s best move is to arm the PKK (PUK?) in Turkey and possibly at least to an extent the PYD in Syria.
Just like Turkey, Jordan (!) and all other Satanists have armed ISIS and al-Qaeda. Obviously proxy wars are not wars or agressions, so go ahead and mirror the enemy.
The author is unaware of the spiritual warfare the Alliance is conducting upon humanity and thus does not take into account all they want is for Armageddon to start.
The author is right that at least one NATO country will go against the Alliance if Turkey starts a war, and that is Greece, but don’t count on any other and more importantly don’t count on the presstitutes to report it as a Turkish invasion. Hence this fact must first become apparent among the masses and only then can Russia make a move with lesser risk.
Athens is run by Syriza which is a quite far nationalist leftist and euro centrist party. But Athens establishment are soked with alien decendants, they let Israels air force train agains the (Cypriot bought) S-300 stationed on eastern Crete. Humanity cannot count on the Athenian establishment.
The way that wannabe Sultan ErDoggy is carrying on, that scenario is very likely. I personally would like to see that criminal POS and his gang eliminated into ash.