Nazar Mohammad Mutmaeen
Afghan writer and political Analyst based in Kabul
Accurate sources say that the rumors about head of the Taliban Political Commission (TPC), Sayyed Mohammad Tayyeb Agha that he resigned or his authorities/power decreased/controlled are not true, but it is a part of recently started propaganda against the Taliban.
On 27th July, 2015, reports on death of Mullah Mohammad Omar Mujahid, leader of the Taliban broadcasted, however, it was not the first time, and such reports were broadcasted several times in the past, also. Meanwhile, a Pakistani journalist, Rahimullah Yusufzai has said that authorities of Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansoor, the second man of the Taliban and deputy of Mullah Mohammad Omar Mujahid would be decreased or he would be removed from the leadership of the Taliban and he would be replaced with Mawlawi Mohammad Yaqoob, son of Mullah Mohammad Omar Mujahid.
On 28th July, 2015, media reported that head of the TPC, Sayyed Mohammad Tayyib Agha resigned, because he was an obstacle in front of the Afghan representatives’ peace talks in Pakistan.
From another hand, it is said that members of the Taliban Council located in Quetta City of Pakistan put pressure on Tayyib Agha in order to limit his authorities, because he does not want the development in peace talks.
In reality, Sayyed Mohammad Tayyib Agha is against peace talks under the cover and authority of Pakistani officials in Pakistan, that’s why the Murree Meeting was rejected by his spokesman.
The recent information shows that the contact person between the Pakistani government and the Taliban does not have access to Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansoor, previously it was reported that Mullah Abbas Akhund and Mawlawi Abdullatif Mansoor participated in latest Islamabad peace talks after they were permitted by Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansoor.
This time, it is said that the promise Pakistan has given to the Afghan government that the representatives of the Taliban would have presence in the second meeting on peace and it would be crowd, it is thought that fulfilling this promise would be hard, and its main opposition is members of TPC located in Qatar.
As Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansoor has not met with the contact person who exchange the messages between Pakistan and them, and as he did not grant permission to anyone to participate in 2nd round peace talks, these could be the reasons behind broadcasting of news that frictions between Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansoor and members of the Taliban Council are increased and that his authorities has become limited and/or he might become removed from the leadership of the Taliban.
Perhaps, some members of Taliban in Pakistan would become together and announce that Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansoor is not their leader anymore, as death and life of Mullah Mohammad Omar Mujahid is not specified, therefore they have to announce their allegiance to another leader, they would be those who had opposed opening of the TPC and attendance of the Taliban members in Qatar in 2012, they wanted the TPC Office to be established in Pakistan; now, this group of Taliban would raise their voice that they are ready to have peace talks with the Afghan government, and that Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansoor and Sayyed Mohammad Tayyib Agha do not have authority anymore.
It would be the group of the Taliban that had secret peace talks in China and Russia as a result of intercession of Pakistan, had continues meetings with the Afghan government, had secret visits with officials in Kabul and Kandahar, and had received financial aid from the Afghan government.
It would be the game that the foreigners, the Afghan government and Pakistan were dreaming about since 14 years, the dream of foreigners, the Afghan government and Pakistan would be come into reality for a short time, however, the roots of war and the poor security situation would remain the same, every attempt of peace would become failed.
The one and only result of this would be division of the Taliban that their signs are seen from now, Mullah Muataseem Agha Jan had made the same attempt before that, however, he became failed, then. But, this time, Mullah Mohammad Hassan Rahmani would head this play and Mullah Jaleel Akhund (ther real player of the game, who has close contact with Pakistani officials), Mullah Abdurrazaq Akhund, Mullah Mohammad Isa Akhund and Mullah Mohammad Sadeq Akhund would be srong supporters of the new Taliban group; coming to the case of Mullah Abbas Akhund, friends of Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansoor and Mullah Jaleel are cautious.
In my opinion, the news on resignation of Sayyed Mohammad Tayyib Agha is the same series, because the Taliban has cleared in their statements that only TPC has full authority to initiate peace talks, and that they are responsible to the Taliban leadership.
The authorities of TPC became increased after Pakistan put pressure on the Taliban and made their representatives to have peace talks with the Afghan government in Murree.
Now, when it comes to limiting the TPC’s authority or his resignation, it should be approved by Mullah Mohammad Omar Akhund, in the case, his death was reported on 27 Jul 2015.
If resignation of Sayyed Tayyib Agha is presented to Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansoor, the news on limitation of his authorities and removal of him from the leadership of the Taliban were given, also; Does not Tayyib Agha aware of this?
It looks like the game is in order for the war to be extended in Afghanistan and privileges to be taken through peace, Pakistan struggle for his own privilege, Taliban for their own privilege and independence and the Afghan government for its own.
One point is so clear, if the Afghan government gave privileges to Pakistan in order to make the Taliban to have peace talks with them, so the Afghan nation would ask the Taliban about it, the Taliban would be responsible for the next generations, because the Afghan government would say that they gave privileges to Pakistan in order to make the Taliban to have peace talks with them, if the Taliban were initiating peace talks with their own wish, they would not do that, the Taliban would be blamed then. However, it is the plan, in order to underestimate the Afghan long and big war that defeated NATO, and for no one to say in the future that Afghans had defeated NATO; instead, it would be said that the Taliban were fighting for the interests of Pakistani and they were their slaves.
It is worth mentioning that if the Afghan government and Pakistan try to divide Taliban in several groups, then, it would be difficult for them to have peace talks with that much groups, they would be faced with several groups instead of one, and the most important point is that how would they have understanding with military Taliban, then.
This best solution is that the Taliban should not be dived, the entire Taliban including the TPC should be given right to initiate peace negotiations independently, the shortest and the easiest way for is officially recognizing the Qatar Office of the Taliban.