The million dollar question right now in intelligence circles is what exactly is going on between Russia and Turkey? Analysts and operators across the Middle East, Europe and America have been speculating for the last few months that there must be in existence some secret deal that remain unknown to everyone else. It all remains speculation however as sometimes, there are things that we just don’t know.
Some points to consider:
- Erdogan is currently screaming his head off about how bad the USA is, accusing the Obama administration of having full foreknowledge of the coup attempt against him but failing to issue any warning. At the same time Turkey is being most effusive in it’s praise for Putin and Russia, apparently because they did warn Erdogan about the coup, even going so far as to credit Russia with having saved the Erdogan regime.
- in November 2015 Turkey shot down a Russian Su-24 over Syrian airspace and the two countries seemed to be on the brink of war. Today however, all that has changed; Erdogan has not only apologised for the shootdown, he has offered lavish compensation to the families of the dead pilots (who were murdered on the ground by the Turkish MIT, following Erdogan’s orders). Erdogan has even gone so far as to arrest the Turkish pilots involved and incredulously, now claims that they acted alone, rather than on orders from Erdogan’s government.
- The large scale infrastructure projects in Turkey that were dependent on Russian assistance and cancelled as a result of the deterioration in Russo-Turkish relations are now being talked about again with the hopes of soon restarting the work. The Turkish Stream pipeline and the Akkuyu nuclear reactor being the two most notable examples.
So why the change in Russo-Turkish relations? Why has Erdogan switched from hurling threats and insults to kissing upto Putin at every possible opportunity?
We just don’t know but we are certain that the answer will be most disturbing and have very great implications for world affairs.
Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu expressed gratitude on Monday to the Russian President for the “unconditional support” offered to Ankara during the botched coup in the country.
“Russia has offered unconditional support to us. First of all, I’d like to thank Mr. Putin and other Russian officials,” Cavusoglu said, TASS reported.
During his statement that was broadcast by Haberturk TV channel, Cavusoglu said that a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan may be held in August before the G20 summit.
“This meeting will focus on removing the economic barriers and on other steps to restore bilateral relations,” the Turkish foreign minister said.
On the night to July 16, a group of insurgents took an abortive coup attempt in Turkey. The main confrontation took place in Ankara and Istanbul. The country’s leaders announced later that the coup attempt had been thwarted. According to the latest reports, 246 people, the putsch members excluded, died and 2,185 were injured in the clashes.
Many experts believe that the Turkish foreign minister’s remarks about Russia’s “unconditional support” could pertain to earlier reports that Moscow had informed the Ankara government of an impending coup hours before it happened over ten days ago.
Arab media outlets quoted diplomats in Ankara as disclosing that Turkey’s President Erdogan was alerted by Russia against an imminent army coup hours before it was initiated on Friday, while a western media outlet said Erdogan asked his supporters to remain in the streets after receiving advice from Tehran.
Several Arab media outlets, including Rai Alyoum, quoted diplomatic sources in Ankara as saying that Turkey’s National Intelligence Organization, known locally as the MIT, received intel from its Russian counterpart that warned of an impending coup in the Muslim state.
The unnamed diplomats said the Russian army in the region had intercepted highly sensitive army exchanges and encoded radio messages showing that the Turkish army was readying to stage a coup against the administration in Ankara.
The exchanges included dispatch of several army choppers to President Erdogan’s resort hotel to arrest or kill the president.
His studies in history and background in the media industry have given him a keen insight into the use of mass media as a creator of conflict in the modern world.
His favored areas of study include state-sponsored terrorism, media manufactured reality and the role of intelligence services in manipulation of populations and the perception of events.