By Sajjad Shaukat for VT
After the World War II, nuclear weapons were never used, and were only employed as a strategic threat. During the heightened days of the Cold War, many crises arose in Suez Canal, Korea, Cuba and Vietnam when the US and the former Soviet Union were willing to use atomic weapons, but they stopped because of the fear of nuclear war which could result into political suicide of both the super powers. Therefore, the two rivals preferred to resolve their differences through diplomacy.
But, case of the present world is quite different, as the nexus of the US, India and Israel which is being led by the emotional and racist approach of the American President Donald Trump may result in to nuclear wars among the atomic powers.
In this regard, tensions accelerated between the US and North Korea on August 11, this year, when American President Trump again highlighted the threat by saying, “The US military solutions are now fully in place” against North Korea.
By setting aside the war-like diplomacy of the President Trump, Pyongyang tested an intercontinental ballistic missile on July 28, 2017, which appears to have the range to hit major US cities.
On April 14, this year North Korea, issued a statement which denounced what it called the Trump administration’s “maniacal military provocations,” including the deployment of the carrier group. The statement elaborated, “Nothing will be more foolish, if the United States thinks it can deal with us the way it treated Iraq and Libya, miserable victims of its aggression, and Syria, which did not respond immediately even after it was attacked.”
Meanwhile, on April 17, 2017, Russia warned the US against any unilateral action against North Korea, saying that any action against Pyongyang’s nuclear activities should not violate international law. Earlier, on April, 14, this year, China also warned America in the same terms.
However, President Trump’s political folly may culminate into atomic war between America and North Korea.
While, implementing secret strategy, American extremist President Donald Trump is also backing the Indian leader of the fanatic party BJP and the fundamentalist Prime Minister Narindra Modi against China and Pakistan in accordance with anti-China, anti-Pakistan and anti-Muslim agenda.
In this respect, tensions intensified between India and China in mid-June, this year, when after the instructions of the Prime Minister Modi, Indian military troops went into Doklam plateau-the territory of China, claimed by both Beijing and Indian ally Bhutan.
In Beijing, China’s Foreign Ministry, while warning New Delhi to withdraw its troops said the country would never give up any territory. Following the stern warning, India has withdrawn troops from Doklam area and has left only 50 military personnel. Beijing is insisting upon complete withdrawal. Therefore, talks between both the nuclear countries failed, as New Delhi does not seem to withdraw all the troops.
In June 2013, tensions had arisen between India and China when Indian army erected a military camp in Chumar Sector of Ladakh at the Line of Actual Control (LAC)-disputed border, situated between the two countries. As Chinese withdrew from Depsang, Indian troops constructed fortifications there. At the same time, India accused Chinese troops of intrusion into Indian area. But reality was exposed when New Delhi requested for flag meeting to resolve the issue, after Beijing put pressure on Indian Army which dismantled the constructed fortifications and to discontinue round the clock patrolling in Chumar Sector.
Similarly, Indian soldiers crossed over the Line of Control (LoC) in Kashmir on January 6, 2012 and attacked a Pakistani check post, killing one Pakistani soldier. Afterwards, Indian troops shot dead more Pakistani soldiers on the LoC.
It is of particular attention that in May 1998, when India detonated five nuclear tests, the then Defense Minister George Fernandes had declared publicly that “China is India’s potential threat No. 1.” New Delhi which successfully tested missile, Agni-111in May 2007, has been extending its range to target all Chinese cities.
It is notable that in the mid of May, 2013, the first Blue Book, published by a Chinese think tank said, “India’s large increase in troops at the borders near China and Pakistan and upgradation of border forces with new weapons and equipments are part of Indian strategy which includes the possibility of a two-front war with Pakistan and China.”
It is mentionable that under the Pak-China pretext, Indian ex-Army Chief, General Deepak Kapoor, revealed on December 29, 2010 that the Indian army “is now revising its five-year old doctrine” and is preparing for a “possible two-front war with China and Pakistan.”
And, since the extremist Indian Prime Minister Narindra Modi came to power in India, it has been implementing anti-Muslim and anti-Pakistan agenda. In this context, BJP leader Dr. Subramaniam Swamy, a staunch promoter of Hindutva (Hindu nationalism) stated on July 12, 2014 that India needed only two years to defeat Pakistan militarily, and the only solution of Kashmir was war, as “there is no peaceful solution.”
Last year, by manipulating the false flag terror attacks at a military base in Uri and Baramulla, located in the Indian Ocupied Kashmir, Indian Prime Minister Modi has also intensified war-hysteria against Pakistan. After deployment of heavy arms and weapons at the LoC, Indian forces have increased troops and continued shelling in Pakistani side of Kashmir. And Pakistani troops are giving matching response to Indian unprovoked firing across the LoC. New Delhi’s main aim is to deflect the attention of the international community from the new phase of Kashmiri Intifada, while pressure has been mounting on the Modi government both domestically and internationally to resolve the issue of Kashmir with Pakistan.
In the past, Islamabad offered various solutions to settle the Kashmir dispute, but, New Delhi rejected the same, considering Kashmir as integral part of the Indian Union, while war of liberation has been accelerated in the India-Held Kashmir which remains a nuclear flashpoint between the two neighbouring countries.
In the recent past, new wave of terrorism in Pakistan, especially Balochistan province killed several innocent people, while various terrorist outfits, particularly the Islamic State group (Also known as Daesh, ISIS, ISIL), and the affiliated faction of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan Jamaat-ur-Ahrar (TTP-JA also known as JuA) claimed responsibility for these brutal acts. TTP based in Afghanistan has its connections with ISIL and other terrorist organizations and affiliated terror groups, including Baloch separatist elements, and all these outfits are promoting the anti-Pakistan agenda of the US-led foreign entities against Pakistan. As part of America’s double game, CIA, RAW, Mossad and Afghan intelligence agency, National Directorate of Security (NDS) which are in collaboration, are using these terror outfits in destabilizing Pakistan and particularly Balochistan in order to fulfill the covert strategic aims of the US-led India and Israel against Pakistan, China, Russia and Iran.
These external secret agencies are especially supporting the TTP which is hiding in Nuristan and Kunar provinces of Afghanistan. Reportedly, Mullah Fazlullah led TTP is behind several terror activities inside Pakistan, as the latter has also become center of the Great Game due to the ideal location of Balochistan. CIA, Mossad and RAW are trying to damage the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Based in Afghanistan, these intelligence agencies are also creating unrest in Tibetan regions of China.
Surprisingly, despite nuclear proliferation by India in violation of various international agreements and its refusal to sign Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) and Additional Protocol with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Washington signed a pact of nuclear civil technology with New Delhi.
Similarly, US has secretly supplied atomic weapons of various kinds to Israel. Although Tel Aviv has several nuclear installations, yet it did not conduct experiment of atomic bombs. Both America and Israel posses so many nuclear weapons which can destroy the world several times.
In 1983, the former Israeli prime minister, Ariel Sharon suggested India to join with Israel to attack Pakistani nuclear facilities, and in 1982 he called for expanding Israel’s security influence from Mauritania to Afghanistan.
Regarding Syria, it is noteworthy that since September 2015, Russian-led coalition of Iran, Iraq, the Syrian army-the National Defense Forces (NDF) and Lebanon-based Hezbollah has broken the backbone of the CIA-Mossad-assisted ISIS terrorists, Al-Qaeda’s Al-Nusra Front and the rebel groups. Russian-supported Assad’s forces and Iraqi troops have retaken several territories from the control of the rebels and the ISIS terrorists who are on flee in Syria and Iraq. Recently, Iraqi forces have recaptured the city of Mosul by defeating the ISIL militants. Very soon, through the skilful diplomacy, Russian President Vladimir Putin will liberate entire Iraq and Syria from the control of the US and Israeli supported non-state actors. Moscow which is destroying the pillars of the New World Order has also exposed the sinister designs of Washington and Tel Aviv against the Muslims and the international community.
In this backdrop, there is an interrelationship of the terror attacks in the US, Europe, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen, Philippines etc., and elsewhere in the world, which were false flag terror assaults, conducted by Mossad in connivance with the agents of Indian RAW and those of the vulnerable CIA operatives.
Through all these false flag terror operations, the US and Israel wanted to obtain their covert aims against Russia and the Muslims. Mossad had also provided the US President Donald Trump with an opportunity to manipulate various terror assaults of Europe and America to win the US presidential election and to reunite America and Europe, as a rift was created between America and its Western allies, especially Europe on a number of issues. And, pro-Israeli President Donald Trump have left no stone unturned in implementing anti-Muslim policies, while speaking openly against the Muslims and Syrian refugees.
Nevertheless, Israeli Mossad which was in collaboration with the vulnerable CIA operatives, particularly, organized terror assaults in the US and Europe. As part of the double game, these terror attacks were conducted by these secret agencies, especially Mossad with the assistance of the ISIS terrorists who used the home-grown terrorists of these countries. Main aims of the Mossad were to reunite Europe and America and keep NATO united, and to divert the attention of their public from internal crises and a prolonged war in Afghanistan. Other purposes of Tel Aviv were to muster the support of America’s Western allies against Russia in relation to the Syrian war and to instigate the Western Christians, particularly those of Europe against the Muslims. Exaggeration of the threat of Islamophia and persecution of the Muslims in America and these countries might be cited as instance.
Another regrettable point is that irresponsible attitude of Indian, Israeli and some Western politicians has introduced dangerous socio-religious dimension in their societies by equating the “war on terror” with “war on Islam” and acts of Al-Qaeda and ISIS with all the Muslims. Their media have also been contributing to heighten the currents of world politics on cultural and religious lines with the negative projection of Islam.
Besides, President Donald Trump, Prime Minister Modi and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are facing criticism domestically and internally due to their extremist policies.
Both Israel and India who do not want the solution of the Israeli-Palestinian dispute and the Kashmir issue, and seems determined to keep their control on the occupied territories through perennial acts of state terrorism have accelerated the new Cold War between the US-led West and Russia, as some European countries have been emphasizing on Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Prime Minister Modi to restart a negotiation process for the settlement of these issues.
Nevertheless, like India and Israel, especially, President Trump who is facing severe criticism inside America owing to his rigid domestic and external policies is confused due to the above mentioned developments, while, still some CIA agents, Indian RAW and particularly Mossad want to divide the world on religious lines.
Nonetheless, political strategists agree that principle of deterrence also known as ‘balance of terror’ is a psychological concept which aims to affect an opponent’s perceptions. In nuclear deterrence, weapons are less usable, as their threat is enough in deterring an enemy who intends to use its armed might.
A renowned scholar, Hotzendorf remarks that nuclear force best serves the interests of a state when it deters an attack.
It is also of particular attention that on July 31, 2006, the US declassified documents revealed, “During the past year, the Bush White House was seriously considering a nuclear option against Iranian nuclear sites understandably…these scenarios are not without historical precedent. From time to time during the Cold War and after, American officials tried to find ways of making nuclear weapons usable, not only for deterrence against Soviet attack but as tactical weapons in local conflicts…recently declassified documents reveal that during Richard M. Nixon’s first year as president, advisers on his White House staff were willing to revisit the question of whether to employ nuclear weapons in Vietnam.”
A complete study of the declassified documents show that President Nixon’s national security adviser Henry Kissinger who believes in power or use of force including nuclear threat for bringing the adversary to favourable bargaining, had advised Nixon to use atomic weapons or its threat to compel North Vietnam and its Soviet allies to conclude peace on America’s terms.
In this regard, Huntington’s book, “The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order” which points out “the clash of civilizations” as the “battle lines of the future…the next world war” also points out (In one way or the other) that any fault-line war could involve the major powers.
But, the theory of balance of terror cannot be applied to present phenomena of the world in wake war-like diplomacy which is being led by the emotional, fanatic and uncompromising Trump who is in connivance with the Indian fundamentalist Prime Minister Modi and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to continue their covert strategies against the Kashmiris, Pakistan, China and Palestinians, while he, himself, seems fully determined to attack North Korea.
If not checked in time by the peace-loving Muslims, Christians, Hindus, Jews and Buddhists, these policies of the President Donald Trump who is particularly completing the extremist agenda of Israel and India are likely to result into more recruitment in the militant outfits, especially in the ISIS group, inspiring the extremist Muslims for more terrorism-related attacks.
India does not want the settlement of the Kashmir issue and especially, Israel which does not accept the two-state solution of the Israeli-Palestinian dispute will prefer to bring about a major war between the Muslim and the Christian worlds or to cause a major war between Russia and the US-led some Western countries.
We may conclude that a conventional war between China and India, between Pakistan and India, between America and North Korea and between Russia and the US-led some Western countries may drag the whole world into nuclear wars which are likely to eliminate the entire international community.
Sajjad Shaukat writes on international affairs and is author of the book: US vs Islamic Militants, Invisible Balance of Power: Dangerous Shift in International Relations