[Note: The Kurds are playing with fire with this resolution ploy. The deck is stacked against them, as they cannot export their only revenue-generating export, oil, through countries around them that deem them a threat. Whatever monies those countries might lose from oil transport fees and trade would be much less than the cost of a war.
The Kurds have to realize this, so that makes me suspicious that the referendum may be a ploy to renegotiate the oil revenue-sharing deal with Baghdad. The average Kurd is thinking he might be able to live like the Qataris off their energy wealth, but the numbers do not come anywhere close to the Qatari wealth and its small population.
Also, along with all the other outside threats to the region, the last thing the Iranian, Turkish, Iraqi and Syrian coalition want to see is a big US-Israeli puppet state in the Kurdish region, as Barzani will need powerful outside friends to survive.
But what is the most crazy is the Kurds include areas outside the traditional Kurdish ancestral territory, a hugely aggressive move on their part, especially now that Iraq has a large and battle-tested military force that did not incur huge losses to defeat ISIS to let the Kurds take advantage of the country. This is a very dangerous situation, and yet we hear nothing from Barzani. Why? … JD ]
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– First published … August 30, 2017 –
Iran has warned the Iraqi Kirkuk region against taking part in the upcoming referendum in the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region.
Jim W. Dean Archives 2009-2014