by Jim W. Dean, VT Editor …with Press TV, Tehran
[ Editor’s Note: We are seeing some major moves prior to the big May showdown on the Korea talks. Kim and China are making early moves to stake out what are very reasonable negotiation goals.
North Korea is fully on board denuclearization of the Korean peninsula, agreeing to end its nuclear and ballistic weapons development in return for hard security guarantees. The “trump” card here is that South Korea will want this also, as a major boon to its long term economy, to remove the threat of war hanging over it.
But I suspect Trump will agree to remove sanctions and then give a maybe on the security guarantees, or a fake deal where the US writes up fuzzy guarantees the it knows it can wiggle out of. On top of that we have the big elephant in the room where we know the US does not really accept being bound by anything it signs.
Such a cheap play will push Kim out of any US deal, actually designed to do this, but that would leave South Korea free to make its own deal, and then tell the US forces they have to withdraw. What could the US say then…”No, we’re staying.”
And what would Japan do if the US wrecks a deal everybody else think’s is a good one? All eyes will be on S. Korea to see if the US will muscle it, like it was a colony. How would that play domestically with the S. Korean people?
Getting the US out of Korea would have Russia and China willing to replace anything economically the US tried to blackmail S. Korea with. The US on the other hand, would be desperate not to set an example of the withdrawal of US forward deployed military, for any reason, as that idea might spread as the proven formula for peace … Jim W. Dean ]
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Jim W. Dean is VT Editor Emeritus. He was an active editor on VT from 2010-2022. He was involved in operations, development, and writing, plus an active schedule of TV and radio interviews. He now writes and posts periodically for VT.
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btw, Was I the only one who saw Kim’s face in the video and thought to myself, he is humbling himself, and he really wants to be accepted. It was the look of the forlorn , meekly presenting himself without animosity.
To be separated from family is tough, and the possibility of reunion grabs at the soul. A cautious hope.
Trump could make all the demons go away if he withdraws US military forces from S Korea in exchange for NK denuclearization and open inspection. The North would be opened for development and acceptance into the human family. It would actually be a tear jerker. People would love it. Trump would see a surge in support and “The Storm” would even subside. This is a ticket to instant history for any president. End the Armistice and load the ships and planes and come home. Everyone wins.
Building and real estate, is a roller coaster process that builds to a crescendo, just before everyone gets paid. Trump and his cabinet are being paid big, and if he fails here, it is over.
If Obama got the Peace Prize, Trump needs one too. This is how he can get it.
Lollipops , balloons and medals, are effective reward methods for the people led by children.
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