Syria will clear the Jordan border and Daraa soon

19
1971

US FORCES LEAVING AL-TANF…AND SYRIA: RUSSIA REMAINS IN THE LEVANT

Written by Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai; Originally appeared at his blog

Large amounts of expensive US weapons have been surrendered in the Daraa campaign

[ Editor’s Note: The worm is turning in Syria. Even Israel is accepting the inevitable, that Damascus will gain control over its Jordanian border. Tel Aviv’s focus now is on having no Syrian troops in the demilitarized zone – a fake complaint – as Damascus has not indicated such an interest.

Israel is still keeping a major ISIS command on its border, one it commands and supplies, according to our sources.  Damascus will go after this too, perhaps Putin and Trump will have a chance to discuss this on the 16th.

Putin will be meeting with Trump, where wrapping up the Syrian conflict will certainly be on the agenda. There has been a lot of chatter about US forces pulling out of Al-Tanf, but not much said about its blocking the highway crossing to Baghdad in the SW corner.

Daraa will be occupied soon, which will continue the Damascus call for its refugees in Lebanon to return home to help rebuild their towns and cities. A new type of war, a logistics war to support rebuilding areas so that they are inhabitable, will begin.

The SAA will then be able to shift the Daraa operation troops to Idlib and Deir Ezzor, and maybe even up to Raqqa which was an Arab, not Kurdish city before the war.

Moscow just pulled out more SU-25 fighter bombers, lowering its footprint as it has done before. Israel has not bombed any targets inside Syria lately, with its hands full with the strike on the Iraqi militia command center on the Syria border, assigned to stop ISIS infiltration back into Iraq.

The SAA got resupplied from captured weapons in Daraa

The Popular Militia Forces have vowed revenge on the US, as Israel would never have run this attack mission (from a Saudi base) without US knowledge. The Russians also know who did it, but usually remain quiet about such things that don’t involve their troops.

The wild card in the Idlib battle is Turkey. The militants and terrorists cannot defend the area without Turkish supplies, so all eyes will turn to Erdogan to explain his de facto occupation of that area, especially if the US exits al-Tanf.

But nothing has been said about the US presence in the Kurdish NE, especially the Syrian oil regions they have captured and fought the SAA to hold. That oil is the economic foundation of a Kurdish State and will not be given up easily, especially with the US maintaining its Santa Claus supply chain.

To this date, the US military has banned all US journalists from reporting from that area. And I am not aware of corporate media ever making a fuss over it.

We will soon be shifting over to a post analytical review of the Syrian disaster, as more people in the know will start talking who have not done so to date. It will be an interesting effort, and VT will be in the middle of it all, as we made a huge resource investment to cover the war, including three trips Jim W. Dean ]

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– first published on Southfront … July 06, 2018

Russian advisors visiting the Syrian capital Damascus are confident that the US forces will pull out of al-Tanf and will also aim to completely withdraw from north of Syria (al-Hasaka and Deir-Ezzour) in the next six months.

According to top decision makers based in Damascus, US President Donald Trump is pushing his administration to approve an already prepared total withdrawal plan.

Despite Trump’s limited knowledge of foreign policy and being unaware of the consequences of his decisions in the international arena, however, he found no convincing elements – said the sources, who asked to remain anonymous – in the presentation by his administration where US forces could benefit from the continuation of their presence in such a hostile environment and without suffering hits in the future.

Trump’s biggest fear to see the US special forces deployed in the north of Syria and in Iraq returning to the country “in plastic bags”. He would certainly find it hard to offer any explanation for the US occupation of the Levant after the defeat of ISIS (the “Islamic State” group) or what remained of it in Syria and Iraq.

Moreover, Trump noticed that the hostility against its forces in Iraq was growing: Iraqi security forces (Hashd al-Sha’bi) vowed revenge on the US following the destruction by unknown jets (believed to be Israeli) of their command and control position on the Iraqi-Syrian borders with specific orders to stop and destroy ISIS terrorist groups  crossing into Iraq.

US forces leaving al-Tanf…and Syria: Russia remains in the Levant

The sources believe president Trump is not ready – despite his passionate support of Israel – to see US forces paying the price of a game Israel has excelled in playing for decades. Israel is used to accepting hits in exchange for the consequences of its action against its neighbours.

Russian sources involved in the preparation of the Putin-Trump summit, expected this month in Europe, believe the Russian President can offer enough guarantees to the US president to leave the Levant before US gets caught into the Syrian-Iraqi quagmire.

The key to attaining this objective is for Trump to hold enough elements to guarantee the safety of Israeli – to his mind – with no Iranian or Hezbollah forces deployed on the disengagement line of 1974. But of course Russia cannot offer any guarantee that Syria will not claim back its occupied territory in the Golan Heights.

Actually, Damascus is not concerned with offering any guarantees to Israel. Nevertheless, since the central government doesn’t need friendly foreign units deployed in the country once all of the Syrian territory occupied after 2011 is liberated (including the north), the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad can guarantee the control of the Syrian army throughout his country.

The only exception remains on the borders between Lebanon and Syria, where close collaboration with the de facto forces on the ground is needed by both sides to prevent the smuggling of weapons and the passage of jihadists across the borders.

Russian considers that the US and Israel have accepted the defeat of the “regime change” goal in Syria and that this failed attempt, after over 7 years of war, strengthen the “Axis of the Resistance” despite billions of dollars invested to break off Syria from this “axis”.

Moreover, it is aware that it was the Obama administration that allowed ISIS to grow without timely intervention to stop it, creating a local force, in Iraq hostile to the US.

US forces leaving al-Tanf…and Syria: Russia remains in the Levant

The American establishment fears that its presence in Syria on the borders with Iraq will create more damage to the US-Iraqi relationship which is still “under control” with Prime Minister Haidar Abadi in power.

The threat launched by Kataeb-Hizballah Iraq against the US forces and mentioned by Lebanese Hezbollah leader Sayed Hasan Nasrallah has created serious concern among US military personnel and within the political leadership, whose objective is to avoid the 2003-2011 experience (being attacked by both Sunni and Shia during the US occupation of Iraq).

On the other hand, the US establishment is asking Russia’s support for the “deal of the century” initiative related to the Palestinians. Russia believes this is a US-Israeli manoeuvre to exchange Syria for Palestine, and that it is unrealistic. Russia has no power to impose on the Palestinians a stillborn deal.

Moreover, if the Russians deploy regular forces in Syria and put Assad out of the “Axis”, the Russians will be holding a dead card. The importance of Syria is due to its borders with Israel, its connections with the Palestinians and to both Iran and Hezbollah. If Russia takes away this privileged position of Syria in the Middle East, Moscow would be controlling a country with no leverage.

Both the US and Russia know that Trump is impatiently waiting for his establishment to agree the pullout of his forces from Syria. Therefore, there is no need for any concessions that Russia is not in a position to fulfil. Moscow wants to keep a good relationship with Washington – as many Russian officials have conveyed to both Damascus and Tehran.

Moreover, both Russia and the US are aware that Syrian and Iraqi resistance forces need only one objective to pursue in the coming years: attack the US forces.

19 COMMENTS

  1. 07 July 18
    SF: “ISIS Cells Attack US-backed Forces In Raqqa”

    Last month, ISIS cells resurfaced in the governorate of Raqqa and carried out their first attack against two vehicles of the SDF in the village of Hammam al-Turkmen in the northern countryside. Two days after the attack, the SDF’s security forces (Asayish) launched an operation in Raqqa against the remaining cells of the terrorist group.
    These recent attacks of ISIS confirms that the SDF and the US-led coalition have failed to secure their areas in eastern Syria. The upcoming months will likely witness more attacks of the terrorist group, which will likely try to target personnel of the coalition. https://tinyurl.com/y7kam9tz

    • AP: “European peace activists march against Trump’s NATO visit” https://tinyurl.com/ycgykqrd

      BRUSSELS (AP) — European activists are protesting U.S. President Donald Trump’s upcoming appearance at NATO, marching through Belgium’s capital to plead for less military spending and more public money for schools and clean energy.
      The “Trump Not Welcome” march and a companion concert come as European and North American leaders prepare for an annual summit at NATO’s Brussels headquarters. Trump accuses NATO allies of not doing enough to defend themselves and is demanding that they spend more.
      The march organizers oppose more military spending. Activists campaigning for the closure of coal and nuclear plants, an end to racism and sexism and for stopping austerity plans that hurt the poor joined Saturday’s event.
      Trump’s NATO demands and climate and trade policies have angered European leaders he will see at the summit on Wednesday and Thursday.

  2. America has NO business having troops in Syria. None. Or Iraq, or Yemen or anywhere else but America.
    Its presence in Syria only serves to turn more of the world against America which can only threaten the rest of the world for only so long until it collapses from debt and fiat money.It is inevitable. The American empire is just a doomed as every other one that rose and fell.
    The People of Syria, Libya, Iraq and Afghanistan have been the victims of U.S./isralei aggression. Compensation is due to rebuild their cities, towns and governments. Take the money that is given to israel and instead send it to those countries the U.S. has deliberately destroyed for israel’s benefit.
    American troops have no business in Syria.

  3. Syria and Russia should put the issue before ENTIRE UN since USA is out of many parts of the UN, let’s let them walk away from UN control in its entirety. Trump, just dropped Iran Deal, NAFTA, GTO, Human Rights Court, why not let him get pissed enough to withdraw from the UN entirely. Then ENTIRE UN could come together and fight for truth Justice and RULE OF LAW !!!

    • What IF the ” UNO ” was an American Puppet created by USA to Ensure success of USA Targets , Zionist Targets to be achieved ……..

      The Fact is that UNO is Toothless and can’t even growl either , Basically the UNO been messing around too too much and now everyone knows it’s fvkin useless so Russia & China created a mutual bond and then extended it to Any who want to join , gave it the name ” Shahangai Cooperation Organization ” or SCO ….. I guess if things go right the sometime later UNO would be totally out done by SCO ……. UNO & NATO may Die ….. need to Die ……

  4. “The Yemeni army and Ansarullah group could hold captive one of the commanders of the US Blackwater firm who was fighting for the UAE in Yemen,” a UAE security officer wrote on his twitter page on Monday.
    He added that Ansarullah will soon release footages of the Blackwater commander who was held captive.

  5. Honestly these Syrians used to Live Happily ALL Over Syria , Happy Familial Lives , an Organised Peaceful Stability and Loving their Government …….. then the USA , Who was doing War Every Two Years , Did a Wholesale Awardation to the Lowly Nations Whose Opinions Americans Do Not Care About as They’re ” Savages ” , Yup the USA Awarded the Planet ” Seven Nations in Five Years ” Deal , and that Started with Afghanistan lead to Iraq then went nuts and went ALL Places like Syria Libya , etc etc At least Several Years in this deadly Chaos it kinda boils down to Millions Dead Muslims , Hundreds of Millions Displaced or Crippled in Every war/country ………

    • I Think Syrian Sovereignty Should Always Be Valid/legit and Respected , They have the Right to Flush out Shady Characters Lurking in the Borders Area from ALL sides with even Jordan being One of the Many Patrons of ISIS

    • I know some Orthodox Christians from Syria, Nice folks, happy, successful, they are not big fans of Assad. He may have his detractors; but the alternative is a wrecked and plundered Syria. Just look at the territory controlled by the USA and overlay the mineral resources, wow big mystery there. The Kurds will be used as cannon fodder unless they distance themselves from the USA/Turkey alliance to steal oil. Remember all those tankers moving through Kurdish controlled Iraq into Turkey. The Russians eliminated that problem,eh. Now we want to give Turkey more weapons of mass destruction. And this gun is pointed where exactly? Stay tuned because while you were sleeping through WWIII; WWIV is getting ready to start.

    • The problem is: israel and the U.S. respects neither state sovereignty nor any treaty.
      America the international Jeckyl and Hyde
      The land of a thousand disguises
      Sneaks up on you but rarely surprises
      Plundering the Asian(middle east) countryside
      In the name of me and you
      with thanks to Gil Scott-Heron/ Watergate Blues

    • Who knows? The IDF may very well turn and run for the safety of Hell Aviv if the SAA shows up. The IDF only shows courage when they face unarmed men, women and children.

    • The Russians only send a few planes home at a time. And they may be in need of maintenance best done at home. They still have enough air power there for what they anticipate to be current demands, and can move more in as needed. What we have learned about the Russians is that they use their resources to the fullest

    • from what I”ve noticed, the Russians aren’t using their front line aircraft. Only older SU-25s.
      Of course their bombers are for thew most part up to date.