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Are migrants driving crime in Germany?



Are migrants driving crime in Germany?

The claim: The deputy leader of the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD) said there had been “447 killings and murders” by illegal migrants in Germany last year.

Reality Check verdict: The German interior ministry says that in fact last year 27 illegal migrants either committed or attempted to commit murder or manslaughter. The 447 figure refers to killings or attempted killings by all asylum seekers and refugees, most of whom are in Germany legally. Overall crime in Germany has fallen to the lowest level since 1992, but there has been an increase in migrant crime.

Short presentational grey line

In the past couple of weeks, the east German town of Chemnitz has seen tensions flare over the issue of migrants and crime.

Protests by the far right began after two migrants, a Syrian and an Iraqi, were arrested after a 35-year-old German man was stabbed to death in a fight on 26 August.

The next day a counter-protest started, marked by a concert in the city, against violence and xenophobia.

Then, on 9 September, there were rival far-right and left-wing demonstrations in Köthen, also in eastern Germany, after a German man died in an incident involving Afghan men.

Since Europe’s huge 2015 influx of migrants and refugees more than 1.5 million asylum seekers have entered Germany. In that time, anti-migrant rhetoric has increased and so has support for the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party.

AfD deputy leader Beatrix von Storch told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: “We’ve got 447 killings and murders by illegal migrants in the last year.”

Is she right?

According to Germany’s Interior Ministry, 27 illegal migrants either committed or attempted to commit murder or manslaughter in 2017.

The 447 figure used by AfD actually refers to all asylum seekers and refugees, most of whom are in Germany legally.

Overall this group was 15% of the total 2,971 suspects linked to these crimes in Germany last year.

German crime rates

Bar a blip in the mid-2000s, overall crime has been decreasing in Germanysince the early 1990s.

But that changed in 2015 – about the same time hundreds of thousands of refugees began entering the country.

In 2014, there were 6.1 million offences recorded by the police. By 2016, this had risen to 6.4 million – these figures include immigration violations which, inevitably, impact migrants.

Graph showing overall police recorded crime since 1993

Within that, violent crime rose from 180,000 cases to 193,000 between 2014 and 2016.

The number of murders increased by 14.6% and rapes by 8%, over the same period.

However, last year saw the total recorded crimes, including immigration violations, drop by 10%.

Equally, violent crime showed a 2.5% decrease between 2016 and 2017.

Migrants and crime

The AfD has made claims about a link between the influx of migrants and a rise in crime.

Since 2014, the proportion of non-German suspects in the crime statistics has increased from 24% to just over 30% (when we take out crimes related to immigration and asylum irregularities).

Breaking that down even further, in 2017 those classified as “asylum applicants or civil war refugees or illegal immigrants” represented a total of 8.5% of all suspects.

This is despite their population representing just 2% of Germany as a whole.

Chart showing asylum-seeker suspects relative to overall population

When it comes to violent crime, 10.4% of murder suspects and 11.9% of sexual offence suspects were asylum-seekers and refugees in 2017.

A government-backed analysis of the German state of Lower Saxony, which has taken the fourth-highest number of asylum seekers, showed there was an increase of violent crime by 10.4% between 2014 and 2016.

It analysed the crimes that had been solved, and attributed the overwhelming majority of the rise to migrants.

Young men and crime

Criminologists say the make-up of the new arrivals is an important factor.

In 2014, German men between the ages of 14 and 30 made up 9% of the population and were responsible for half of all the country’s violent crimes.

When it comes to the new arrivals, men aged 16 to 30 made up 27% of all asylum-seekers who came in 2015.

“It is because of the demographics,” claims Dr Dominic Kudlacek, from the Criminological Research Unit of Lower Saxony. “Whether they’re asylum seekers or EU migrants, they are younger than the average population and mostly male. Young men commit more crimes in every society.”

Picture of police intervening at a refugee centreImage copyrightGETTY IMAGES
Image captionPolice intervene at a refugee centre in Ellwangen after a confrontation with migrants

Other factors also influence the trend, says Dr Kudlacek.

“They have social deprivation, they are alone and they spend most of their time with other people suffering from these risk factors – the accommodation of the majority of asylum seekers is like refugee camps with little privacy, which again can add to the likelihood of committing crimes.”

Asylum seekers in Germany face bureaucratic hurdles before they’re allowed to find work, and while they receive some money from the state, it is limited.

Dr Kudlacek also points out that asylum seekers are often victims of crime as well.

A lot of the crime they commit, especially violent crime, they commit against other refugees.

Ian Greenhalgh
{p}Ian Greenhalgh is a photographer and historian with a particular interest in military history and the real causes of conflicts.{/p}{p}His studies in history and background in the media industry have given him a keen insight into the use of mass media as a creator of conflict in the modern world.{/p}{p}His favored areas of study include state sponsored terrorism, media manufactured reality and the role of intelligence services in manipulation of populations and the perception of events.{/p}

8 Replies to “Are migrants driving crime in Germany?

  1. Good one Ian . . . I thought you had a much higher sense of human nature. But, well played! You certainly got the ire up, now didn’t you.

    You Irish?

    Check out the cutesy images of what people did and thought about Irish people . . . “Mr. G. O’Rilla”

    Oh, that’s a hoot and a half . . . keep that spew brew going. It’s such a lovely human trait.

    ” Yes, I am a Jew, and when the [Irish] ancestors of the Right Honorable gentleman were brutal savages in an unknown island, mine were priests in the temple of Solomon. ”
    — Benjamin Disraeli reply to a taunt by Irish Member of Parliament Daniel O’Connel

    “Our ancestors cut a civilisation out of the bogs and meadows while Mr Haughey’s [Irish] ancestors were wearing pig skins and living in caves ”
    — Ian Paisle

    Nothing new under the sun. Same stupid attitudes, used WITH intent and purpose — used ON BOTH SIDES to create hate for all things, and everyone. I’m better than you . . . Stars Upon Thars . . . Fear, fear, fear.

    If anyone thinks that going to live in Germany is a wunderfeast . . . STFU. The weather is gloomy, raining, people are still “pure race” Seig Heil, ya Vol . . . I hail from them. So I know they can be pretty knuckle dragging, pitchfork grabbing too. Thankfully, I evolved.

    Who were the coyotes who arranged this “social experiment”??

  2. I think the case with ME fake refugees is something like this. First their fake Imam hits their head with Quaran, then their fake left wing representative takes them to LGBT party and the result is REALLY poor skilled truck drivers, as have been seen in Nizza, Stockholm etc. Cheap labor at it’s best for both left and right.

    Statistics are made to be faked, but here’s one anyhow:


    Somehow I think Sweden is not at the place it should be while thinking about once great nation several decades ago. A detail, one of the victims of Stockholm was Ukrainian woman, who lost her leg. She wasn’t fake refugee but was honestly looking for job. Sweden kicked her out of the country.

  3. Sucking on the welfare tit these parasites have nothing to do but cause trouble. Too much free time and no motivation to move up like a person who wants to fit. These guys don’t hang out at the local library or asking for educational help. Hell you see them with smartphones dressed nicely. They have freedoms they would have never had in Pakistan, Somalia, Iraq, Iran or wherever they come from. If in those places they tried stunts such as they are pulling in Europe they would at best get cained and at worst beheaded.

    In this case the best from Bulgaria showed what it is capable of,

    Crap like this would never cross my mind even if I was drunk and wobbling like a wingnut.

    1. It’s “teat” . . .

      You are base level intelligent. And I feel sorry for you about that.

      Your comment is TEXT BOOK CLASSIC for the white guy, who has never traveled outside of his own comfort zone to make.

      Rule #1 — they play both ends against the middle.

      With that premise, please write a 500 word essay on how this rule is applicable to this article . . . which was also deliberately published to not only debase Germans, once again, but to pit them against their own WWII mantras of the pure race. I’ve already given you some pointers . . . .

      Please include the “freedumbs” you think we have, as contrasted to what you think they don’t.

      “Cained” . . . ??? at at worst beheaded.??

      Please cite your statistics.

      Henry77 . . . classic “pitchfork people” mashed up with Mr. Potathead, while Monday morning Quarter Backing.

      Classic regurgitation of what they want you, and millions like you, to think and say. Just pull Henry77 (your age?) strings . . . the new “Thynk and Say” toy, in human form.

    2. M.O.A.B, concept beheaded, but that’s exactly what those “refugees” say, if they were turned back to their own country, a lie maybe. Seems to me, that they are more likely playing triangle. That is, the lie has made one more dimension to 2D.

    3. “Sucking on the welfare tit these parasites have nothing to do but cause trouble” is Classic Textbook not Textbook Classic.

    4. Ms. B. let us not forget the creation of divisiveness, the weakening of the family, the takeover of school curriculum, are all neccessary for the creation of the New World Order. The Sheeple will beg for the controls; the machinations are being put in place. Whites, Blacks, Jews, Moslem, Christian are all being played. Problem, Reaction, Solution, is the modus operandi.

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