An Analysis of the Downing of Russia’s Il20 with 15 Onboard

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Editor’s note:  Bodies and wreckage?  The search?  Nothing is right about this.  Am I missing something?
By Darsa Harn for VT
(Who did not attend Harvard Divinity School)
 
This past week we saw the spectacle of fifteen Russian servicemen losing their lives in the air. That comes on top of about two hundred Russian military contractors who got killed, and event to which Secretary of State Pompeo testified at his confirmation hearing.  The Il-20 was allegedly downed by Syrian fire led astray by Israeli aircraft, whereas the two hundred lost their lives as a result of a direct air attack by the US.  Every time USrael pushes Russia further, and Russia under Putin backs down, it builds up pressure inside a pressure cooker which may one day burst, making provocateurs in USrael realize what fools they have made of themselves and the rest of us that they drag along.
 
Let us examine the cause of downing of Il-20.  Today’s intelligent radar, when detecting a target, records its radar profile and keeps it in the memory of the radar’s on-board micro-controller. Consequently, the profile of one target, such as an Israeli fighter plane, cannot be confused with the profile of a larger plane such as the Tussian Il-20, Only older generations of radar which lack an on-board microcontroller or microprocessor and memory could make such a mistake.
 
Further, once the radar detects an object, it knows the distance of the object because of the round-trip time it takes for the radar waves to reach the target, bounce off, and return to the radar where they are detected. The bouncing off is instantaneous. The round-trip time halved then multiplied by the speed of light gives the distance of the object, which is recorded by the radar.  Radar waves travel at the speed of light, or 300 thousand kilometers per second.  In a modern radar, the distance from the target, once the target is detected, is recorded. This enables clear distinction of the target from other objects which may later enter the scene. If another object is detected to be at the same distance, and hence on the same arc as the first, it is the angle that separates them that helps the radar distinguish them.  If two objects are nearly co-linear with the radar, allowing one to largely hide another, it is their distance from the radar which distinguishes them. So if the Israeli planes came in front of the Il-20, the radar could not confuse them, because their distance from the radar is significantly different and because their radar profiles (signatures) are different. 
 
Based on the above two tracking and identification criteria, it would be impossible for the radar to mistake an Israeli fighter plane with an Il-20.  Once the radar has detected a target, being an Israeli fighter plane in the case under consideration, the identifying criteria of distance and profile enables the radar to lock onto the target. Therefore, unless the radar was from the 1960s-1980s, it is well nigh impossible for it to have made such a mistake. The same applies whether the radar is ground-based or mounted on the air-defense missile.  As I do not work in radar or electronic warfare I leave it  to those readers who do to comment to the general  readership if the above analysis is sound.
 
Conclusion
 
The above analysis would be known to Russian experts. They would have apprised Putin. Thus his statement that a series of tragic events led to this mistake is made-up, and serves to put a good face on his backing down. When Putin yields to criminals who have created, funded, armed and trained ISIS in the destruction of long-standing communities of the Middle East, to massacre the men of the community, rape the women, such as was suffered by Christians and Izadis, he hopes his conciliatory actions lead to rapprochement with the US and the West. But to USreal his action invites more crime and worse crime. Pressure inside the pressure cooker has been building up for some time.  Israel’s agents here helped it get away with its destruction of the USS Liberty, killing of 34 sailors and wounding of over 170.  The USS Liberty like the Il-20 was an intelligence gathering vessel. Each time Israel gets away with such actions it widens its horizons to commit more.  The Zionist lobby in Russia is no less effective than it is in the US. 

9 COMMENTS

  1. Today 9/23 from Tass;
    “At 22:03, a Syrian missile hit the closest and biggest target, which was the Il-20 aircraft. The captain reported about a fire on board and the start of an emergency landing,” he said, adding that the aircraft had disappeared from radar at 22:07.

    The Russian general added that at 22:29, a Russian duty officer in command in Syria informed the Israeli Air Force that a Russian Il-20 aircraft was in distress and demanded that Israeli fighter jets leave the area as a rescue operation was about to begin. An Israeli lieutenant confirmed the receipt of information but the Israeli F-16 jets left the area only at 22:40.

    More:
    http://tass.com/politics/1022770

  2. If we want these nonsensical wars to end then, we must change the current fractional reserve system of banking, along with prohibiting jews from working in the field of finance. If this sounds anti-Semitic it ain’t, it is what needs to be done. Also, I think we’re past the point of separating jew from zionist. It’s as impossible a task as separating Syria’s moderate rebels from the head chopping terrorists.

  3. i have quickly read some some of the several FRN articles on the downing of the Il-20, and it says “click”, like the whole story just snaps into place. Of course we cannot “know”, but the whole thing makes a lot of sense that way. Soon Macron may even be forced to become Russia’s puppet.

  4. Thanks for mentioning Flores’ article! In fact, the article starts with mentioning Kalashnikov’s idea of automatic air defence systems:
    Published on: Sep 21, 2018 @ 10:13 – According to Russian Deputy Prime Minister Yuri Borisov, the Russian consortium Kalashnikov has proposed that Russian bases in Syria be equipped with automatic surveillance systems.
    “The Kalashnikov consortium has proposed a number of technical solutions, automatic systems will be installed to carry out surveillance,” said Borisov, who added that there is already work to put these measures into practice.
    https://www.fort-russ.com/2018/09/more-experts-confirm-that-france-took-down-il-20-identify-friend-foe-system-did-not-fail/

  5. Q: Does the S-200 go after the heat signal generated by a plane’s engine?
    That would make sense when the target is a jet, with missile coming from behind.
    But for a plane with air cooled piston engines?
    The heat signal is then only from a low temperature source.
    Missiles aimed at incoming targets would seek their targets by means of RADAR signals, yes?
    Any way, I haven’t either seen ANY mention of wreckage.
    And that would seem to be quite essential before we can draw any definite conclusions.

  6. Hi people..

    Time is on my side .This is the reality!..

    ” Russian is secretly allied with Israel.

    Russia plays a role for Israel. Putin is playing both sides. His survival depends upon Israel’s safety.

    This is why Russia has not responded.

    Israel will stand and nothing of “significance” will occur.

    Pin it..on your frontal loop…”

    Note: “THE TROLLS” and disinfo crowd are hitting this hard,
    so it must be important! I would take it seriously.

    Saludos…

    • The United States came out of the Civil War with Robber Barons greatly enriched as a sort of second tier to the UniBank of the day. There are a lot of similarities to the structure that emerged after the break up of the Soviet Union, with Oligarchs in control of vaste swathes of Industry and Commerce. Now USA citizens were better treated than most of the rest of the world during the shorter Cycle of Empire that has been the USA for 100 years, following 300 years of Gt Britain, as outlined by Paul Kennedy. Putin raised the standard of living for average Russians and comes across as the Good Guy. Pump and Dump Trump is doing his job completing the gutting of the USA, with apparently another 20 trillion of Pentagon debt to add to the 20 trillion of national debt. Meantime, china flies under the radar and Israel has transfered military technology and the ‘Princelings’ of the Eight Immortals serve a similar function to the Russian Oligarchs and the original USA Robber Barons. The Great Game in Asia has been played carefully and now the End Game, beloved of Russian (Askenazi?) chess players, kicks in.

    • A perspective that many have, to be sure.

      Armchair 5-star general quater backing is very easy to do. I do it all the time. However, I know I’m not trained at all. At. All.

      Putin, and his close advisers are well versed. Unlike Humpty Trumpty who is a tool found in the sock puppet drawer du jour, the Putin team is tight.

      My summation, and it’s only that, is Russia is weighing the balance.

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