As we know from recent reports, former ISIS fighters, mostly Chechens, have arrived in Ukraine in large numbers and are being deployed into combat units along the Donbas front. This influx of mercenaries strongly suggests a Ukrainian offensive against the DPR is in the works, probably once the worst of the winter weather is over, some time around March.
However, we now have disturbing reports from Donbas that suggests that the renewed war will be triggered by a false flag atrocity involving chemical weapons; a classic ploy that we have seen employed several times in recent decades, most often in the Middle East.
The reports of involvement of British an American intelligence agents in preparing for this chemical weapons incident just reinforce my view that the Skripal poisoning farce earlier this year was largely carried out in order to place in the public consciousnesses the notion that Russia not only possesses chemical weapons, but is quite prepared to use them.
So as spring approaches, expect a false flag chemical weapons attack somewhere along the Ukraine-DPR front lines and for Russia to be blamed, the chemical weapons will be alleged to be of Russian origin, most likely with bogus lab reports identifying the substance, just as with the Novichok nonsense a few months ago.
Will this then be used as a cassus belli for US-NATO intervention in the conflict? That is a very worrying thought as a small, regional conflict between a rogue state and a breakaway region is one thing, if the USA and Russia are dragged into it, it becomes quite another and all the horrible WW3 scenarios you can think of become far more likely to come to pass.
Blue Barrels of toxic chemicals have been spotted on the Ukrainian side of the lines, arriving by train at Krasnogorovka and unloaded there by Ukrainian personnel in protective gear, for some as yet unknown purpose. The fear is that these chemicals will be used in the same way they were in Syria – to carry out a false flag atrocity against civilians; e.g. a village near the front will be attacked by chemical weapons with many civilian casualties and the DPR will be blamed.
The DPR reports that British and American intelligence agents have been spotted in this area, carrying out training scenarios similar to the real chemical weapons incidents seen in the Middle East and this is causing grave concern as Ukrainian president Poroshenko is struggling to hold onto power by postponing elections and has previously shown a willingness to slaughter innocent civilians. The DPR has been calling for the international community to prevent the Ukrainians carrying out a terrorist atrocity with these chemical weapons and warns that 70,000 innocent civilians are within range and at risk.
If the infamous White Helmets appear in Ukraine, that will be a further major indicator that something nefarious is in the works.
On the frontlines, the DPR forces are prepared for a renewed Ukrainian offensive due to the build-up of military resources on the Ukrainian side of the lines and a renewal of the random heavy weapons fire from the Ukrainian side.
His studies in history and background in the media industry have given him a keen insight into the use of mass media as a creator of conflict in the modern world.
His favored areas of study include state-sponsored terrorism, media manufactured reality and the role of intelligence services in manipulation of populations and the perception of events.