I rarely criticise President Trump, taking the view that the poor man has enough critics already. However sacking my old friend Ambassador John Bolton as National Security Adviser was a doozy. It gave the green light to America’s enemies and the enemies of the West in general to go over to the attack. Within days the Islamic Republic of Iran mounted an armed attack on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, correctly calculating that the Trump Administration would let it go unpunished.
I have no doubt that Iran was behind the attacks on Saudi Aramco’s oil production facilities. Ian Greenhalgh probably thinks it was the Israelis, no offense intended, but I entirely associate myself with the reported analysis of the Saudi Ministry of Defense.
The idea that the Iranian-backed Houthi rebels mounted the attack only has to be stated for its absurdity to be apparent. They lack the sophistication – a bunch of guys on a Toyota pick-up armed with AK-47s is more their style. They don’t do cruise missiles.
The attack appears to have been mounted using a combination of cruise missiles and drones, launched from Iran. Satellite and radar imagery will have determined the axis of attack. Fragments from the missiles and drones will have confirmed their Iranian origin.
As readers know, I don’t do conspiracy theories, or ‘conspiracy analysis’ for that matter. Determining state responsibility for the armed attack on the KSA was a comparatively straightforward intelligence task. I think the Saudis got it right. The US intelligence community isn’t seriously disputing Iranian responsibility.
The air attack was clearly an Act of War, justifying the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in declaring war on the Islamic Republic of Iran. Without American backing I doubt they will do so, preferring instead to negotiate behind the scenes for Iranian concessions re the Houthi rebels, for example assurances that they will stop attacking Saudi Arabia. They’ll probably get the assurances but how much they’ll be worth remains to be seen. Aggressor states tend to hand out assurances by the dozen. Germany said in 1938 that she had no designs on Poland, by which she meant that she wouldn’t be in a position to start the attack until the following year.
Iran’s Nuclear Inventory
It’s not widely known but the Saudis have a small inventory of nuclear weapons, acquired, I suspect from France, after the Israelis went nuclear. I believe the Saudis rely on modified French SLBMs for their delivery system. It’s not too difficult to turn an SLBM into an IRBM.
Since I wasn’t sure the Saudis knew, I passed a backchannel warning to Riyadh last week about Iran’s nuclear inventory and legacy delivery systems. Generally speaking it’s a bad idea to attack a nuclear-armed state with nuclear weapons.
As I explain in my book Spyhunter Iran acquired weapons-grade plutonium from the French black stockpile in 2003-4, after the Iraq War. Both France and Germany were concerned that the Western allies might turn on Iran after defeating Iraq. Indeed I was one of those pressing at the time for Iran to be sorted. The Islamic Republic of Iran has always been an aggressor state and by 2003 had not only attacked Iraq, leading to the Iran/Iraq War, but was using its terrorist proxy Hezbollah to attack Israel, the only democracy in the Middle East.
This was the intelligence that Dr David Kelly was taking to Mossad in Tel Aviv before his disgraceful murder in 2003, and which I took to the Israelis in his place. I know there are still idiots out there who think that Dr Kelly committed suicide by transecting a single ulnar artery in the open air with no means of keeping the body warm and no knife or other bladed instrument with which to make the cut. (There was a knife, but it was only placed by the body after it was discovered, by Thames Valley Police Special Branch officers.) They’re wrong.
Legacy Delivery Systems
General opinion in the Intelligence Community is that the Iranians have been unable to match their Chinese-pattern warheads to their rockets. That’s why the Iranians wanted plute of course – plutonium-cored nukes tend to be more compact and are easier to mount on comparatively small IRBMs. I go with the general view – I don’t think Iran has operational nuclear-tipped IRBMs.
As I pointed out to the Israelis in 2004 however, Iran has legacy delivery systems in the shape of the nuclear-capable Grumman F-14 Tomcat and McDonnell Douglas F4 Phantom 2. Officially the Islamic Iranian Air Force retired its fleets of F-4s and F-14s, being unable to acquire the spare parts. That’s only the official position however.
One way of getting around spare parts problems of course is to cannibalise the rest of your fleet to keep a small number of your kites operational. That’s what the Iranians did. I wouldn’t mind betting that the Iranians also acquired some Phantom bits when the Hellenic Air Force retired theirs. Greece is in the EU, which backs Iran. I don’t think anybody was keeping a particularly close eye on the disposal of the Greek Phantoms.
There’s no point telling me that the Tomcat and Phantom are old airplanes. I know that. The Phantom 2’s first flight was on May 27th 1958 and the Tomcat’s on December 21st 1970. Both are seriously capable supersonic combat aircraft however, with decent range and load-carrying capability. Each can carry freefall nuclear bombs on underwing pylons. Being intended for naval service they have strong airframes.
In my opinion both the Iranian F-4s and F-14s could strike anywhere within the Middle East with freefall nuclear weapons, probably with a high-speed under the radar mission profile, popping up to say 5,000 feet for a toss-bomb launch, with the weapons fuzed for ground-burst to give the crews a theoretical chance of escape.
The South Africans did this with their Buccaneers, holding a few back for the nuclear strike mission. Incidentally the toss-bombing idea didn’t work out quite as planned on one of their nuclear tests in the South Atlantic.
Hopefully Riyadh got the message. At any rate the risk of nuclear war in the Middle East appears to have receded.
The UK Supreme Court decision
As I predicted the UK Supreme Court ruled last Tuesday against the government on the prorogation of Parliament. The only surprise was that the decision was unanimous. I was rather expecting a split decision as in the first Miller case.
Our Supreme Court, like yours, has become highly politicised. Unlike the US Supreme Court however there are no democratic safeguards. All senior judicial appointments in the UK are in practice made by the Cabinet Office. In England and Wales the appointments are laundered through a quango, the Judicial Appointments Commission, but like most quangos it reports to the Cabinet Office. Our Supreme Court is probably closer to the Reich Supreme Court (established in 1879 by Otto von Bismarck) than it is to your Supremes. Their with respect silly hats are certainly closer to German court dress than they are to British.
Not the least odd thing about our Supreme Court is that it’s not actually the highest court in the land. It’s only the second highest. The High Court of Parliament is the highest. One way of testing that is to look at the powers of the respective courts. The Supreme Court cannot impose the death penalty. The High Court of Parliament however, if so minded, could give the Justices of the Supreme Court a fair trial on a Bill of Attainder and sentence them to death for acting against the interests of the State. It could also remove them from office for misconduct, by means of a resolution of each House of Parliament. (In exercising its supervisory role over the judges it’s generally accepted that Parliament acts in its judicial rather than its legislative capacity.)
So far as I know each of the justices has liberal, i.e. wrong, views on the death penalty, save with respect for Lady Hale, whose ruling in the Charlie Gard case in 2017 effectively sentenced the poor little chap to death, albeit not by hanging. Were they be to put on trial for their lives at the Bar of Parliament the justices’ ardent opposition to the sentencing powers of Parliament would not avail them.
The apparent and actual political bias with respect of the current crop of justices raise an interesting constitutional question. Given that a decision shot through with bias is in law a nullity what would happen if the government were to treat last week’s ruling as a nullity? I don’t imagine that it will, but the court’s reputation for independence and impartiality has taken a battering. It’s not quite as bad as that of the People’s Supreme Court in the Third Reich but it’s headed there. That was Judge Roland Freisler’s court, as all y’all may know. He was so unfair that he could have sat at Southwark Crown Court, no offense intended, although the Ministry of Justice might have said that he was too liberal.
The Supreme Court made three major mistakes, with respect: it wrongly assumed that Her Majesty was bound by the Prime Minister’s advice, it wrongly treated that advice as a decision when it was only advice, the Prime Minister having no power to prorogue Parliament, and it wrongly treated the comparatively limited prorogation of only a few weeks as ‘extreme’. The Court should be abolished and the old arrangements brought back.
Sir Mark ‘von’ Sedwill, the Cabinet Secretary, may come under pressure, since he was almost certainly consulted by the PM over his advice to the Sovereign to prorogue Parliament. The public explanation for the prorogation was curious, to say the least. The idea of painting the prorogation as nothing to with Brexit almost certainly did not come from the PM.
Not having learnt the lesson of the Foreign Office set-up of him over Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, Boris has a blind spot, sadly, over the Civil Service, which invariably acts in bad faith, not least over Brexit. The last time the Home Civil Service gave good policy advice was probably in the 1890s. Its record since the end of the Second World War has been an unmitigated disaster.
Sedwill is already under pressure over the Yellowhammer leaks and the Cabinet Office blocking of my Royal Pardon application. (The Cabinet Office have stopped successive Home Secretaries from seeing it since June 2018!). His role in Afghanistan is also bound to come under closer scrutiny, given the leaks to Terry Taliban from Kabul during his time there. That’s a matter you guys might have an interest in.
The Boris complaints
Boris has faced a concerted campaign since his election as leader of the Tory Party from the Cabinet Office, the MSM and the DVD. In an effort to embarrass Boris at the Tory Party conference this week the Murdoch-controled Sunday Times ran two smear stories. The first, concerning nice American businesswoman Jennifer Arcuri, suggested in terms that Arcuri’s company had improperly benefited from City Hall contracts when Boris was Mayor of London.
In what was clearly a carefully timed and politically motivated move the Prime Minister was reported to the “Independent” Office for Police Conduct. Don’t be fooled by the name. The IOPC is about as independent as the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea is democratic. In the death-grip of the Cabinet Office, the IOPC seems to operate to North Korean ethical standards.
The Brexit Negotiations
As he indicated in his rather witty conference speech on Wednesday the PM is actually quite well-disposed towards Europe and Europeans, so much so that he thinks that Britain is in Europe! (We’re actually an island off the coast of Europe, which is why Europe is cut off when there’s fog in the Channel.) Boris really does want a deal with the EU, not least because he was fooled by Jeremy Corbyn into dropping opposition to the Benn bill in the House of Lords – once the bill was through Labour shifted the goalposts on holding a general election.
Thankfully the EU are likely to reject the latest British proposals, which were only made in desperation. Appointing a Remainer as leader back in 2016 was a disaster. Theresa May could have opted to denounce the EU treaties under the Vienna Convention. Instead, encouraged by the fanatically pro-EU Cabinet Secretary Sir Jeremy ‘von’ Heywood (later very properly executed for his role in the 2012 Olympics nuclear bomb plot) Mrs May suppressed all mention of Vienna and embarked upon a humiliating and totally pointless round of negotiations with Brussels.
As I have been saying all along the EU will never agree to a deal which is in our interests. In particular they will never agree to a free trade deal, which might encourage other member states to break free. The Withdrawal Agreement was always intended to be permanent. Somewhat irrationally, with respect, the British Government is assuming that the EU are acting in good faith. The EU has never done so before, and very frankly it’s a bit of a mystery why anyone in Downing St. thought that they might suddenly start acting in good faith now.
Well done Simon Coveney! The idiot Irish foreign minister stupidly suggested that Boris Johnson had become friendlier towards the EU after a failed attempt by Continuity IRA (a semi-official splinter group) to murder Police Service of Northern Ireland officers in County Fermanagh.
For over ten years I have vainly tried to point out that IRA splinter groups are in reality no such thing. They’re there to fool credulous journalists and politicians, if that is not a tautology, into believing that the IRA are serious about the Good Friday Agreement, which in reality is a joke. I’ve also tried to get people to grasp the reality that the IRA are and always have been controled by German intelligence and that their political violence has always been directed towards attaining German strategic objectives.
Thus the Easter uprising was aimed at drawing British troops away from the Western Front by opening up a third front in Ireland. When the DVD’s Otto Skorzeny set up the Provisional IRA it was with the intent of forcing Britain to accept EEC membership. PIRA activity tracked British concessions towards the EEC. It was ramped up before we went in and dialled down afterwards. In the 1990s, when the City of London was in competition with Frankfurt to host the European Central Bank, the IRA targeted the City.
Because we put idiot policemen, if that is not another tautology with respect, in charge of counter-terrorism, the Germans got away with it. British police forces suffer from a blind (sorry, visually-impaired) ideology which holds that terrorism is not a state-sponsored phenomenon, an obsessive failure of doctrine which saw over 3,000 lives thrown away unnecessarily in the Troubles.
Coveney gave the game away when one of his officials briefed the media about the political impact of the trap in Fermanagh, where the IRA tried to lure PSNI officers to their deaths. If the Irish government supported this terrorist plot, as Coveney appeared to be indicating, then that was an Act of War by the Republic of Ireland against Her Majesty. Defeat of the Irish Republic, which in reality has always been a German client state, in battle would of course solve the border problem, since there would no longer be a border, any more than there would be a Republic of Ireland.
The Ukraine Nonsense
As I think she now realises, TIPWNOI has screwed the pooch with her bizarre attempt to impeach President Trump over his perfectly proper request to President Zelensky of the Ukraine to investigate the suspicious activities in that country of a US citizen, Hunter Biden. That Hunter Biden’s father just happens to be the Democratic front-runner Joe Biden and that Joe Biden as Vice-President happened to lean on the Ukrainians to fire just about the only honest prosecutor in the whole of the Ukraine is tough for the Democrats. (For the benefit of new readers TIPWNOI stands for ‘That Idiot Pelosi Woman, No Offense Intended’.)
To argue that this is an impeachable offense by President Trump is nonsensical, although it might have afforded grounds for impeaching President Obama, who wasn’t entitled to hold the office of President anyway, as he didn’t meet either the citizenship or birth requirements of Article II of the US Constitution. The allegation is just another piece of anti-Trump Deep State nonsense, emanating from a so-called whistleblower, nominally from the CIA and attached to the anti-Trump National Security Council. This ‘whistleblower’, who I wouldn’t trust to blow the whistle in a soccer match, had no first-hand knowledge of the President’s call to President Zelensky and was taking advantage of a relaxation in the rules very obviously put there for his benefit.
It gets worse, however. The CIA is largely controled from Frankfurt by the DVD’s Correa/COREA Group, i.e. the agency is under effective foreign control. It only looks and sounds American because it employs only US citizens and its officers tend to wear aviator glasses and loud trousers.
I’m not sure if the President is playing a hunch, or getting serious intelligence advice (if the latter it would a welcome innovation), but with respect he’s right to hint at espionage and foreign involvement. The foreign power concerned is Germany, not Russia. Not even Hillary Clinton could seriously believe that the Russians control the CIA! (If you want an historic clue about German control of the CIA you need go no further than look at the dealings between the Abwehr’s Hans Bernd Gisevius and Allen Dulles in Switzerland in 1943.)(Gisevius by the way was no more a member of the German ‘resistance’ than Field Marshal Montgomery’s pet spaniel Rommel.)
The suggestion that the ‘whistleblower’ might be tried for treason and executed is welcome. Public exposure of Correa/COREA Group operatives is long overdue. Just as we need to start executing GO2 operatives (after a fair trial, of course), so you guys need to start juicing Correa/COREA Group stooges. No state can survive unless it roots out hostile state penetration assets in its intelligence services. You guys may have the option of using Gitmo and military tribunals, which are less vulnerable to German manipulation, although a little nifty legal work might need to be done first.
You also have the option of waterboarding suspects, a valuable interrogation tool refined during the Global War on Terror, although it might best be done offshore. The most effective strategy might be to waterboard the ‘whistleblower’ to find out who put him up to it, not prosecute and go after the guys closer to Frankfurt.
The Epstein Assassination
Readers might enjoy a recent video presentation I did for the Bases Project in Devizes, Wiltshire, on the cynical and brutal assassination in the Metropolitan Concentration Camp, sorry Correctional Center, in New York by the Correa/COREA Group of their operative Jeffrey Epstein. Here’s the link: https://youtu.be/bCi_cSaJYeM.
Jacques René Chirac (1932 – 2019)
It’s not all been bad news. Former French President Jacques Chirac snuffed it last Thursday, poor chap. Commiserations to the DVD on the loss of one of their most effective French operatives, arguably their most effective since Marshal Pétain.
Chirac, of course, was a long-time devotee of the EU. Heavily compromised over his sex life (he was bisexual) and bent as a three-bob note, no offense intended, Jacques dedicated himself to the maintenance of German control over France. Had he been a bit older he would probably have been a Vichyist minister, like his predecessor Francois Mitterand.
It’s not just because of his support for the EU that the news of Chirac’s death was well-received in England. Chirac supported Mitterand’s policy of having France act as a covert belligerent alongside Argentina in the Falklands War. We haven’t forgotten the French Navy’s cowardly attack on our DDG HMS Glamorgan, nor are we likely to. Above all however, Chirac went along with the DVD’s plan to assassinate our beloved HRH the Princess of Wales, which happened in his capital city on his watch.
Having drenched his hands in the blood of our beautiful princess Chirac needn’t expect British sympathy in death. We should never have let him live so long, indeed in a sane world Princess Diana’s assassination would have led to a short war with France. (It wouldn’t have been long before the cheese-eating surrender monkeys, no offense intended, surrendered, after which we would have got Calais back.)
Earth’s Dwindling Population
For those worried about population growth I warmly recommend The Shock of Global Population Decline by Darrell Bricker and John Ibbitson, recently reviewed in British Mensa’s journal by fellow Mensan Paul McKinley (October 2019, p.6). Bricker and Ibbitson have a point: the Earth’s population is not yet in decline but it will be by about 2075. The rate of growth is already slowing, i.e. over-population is not a problem.
As cities grow the human footprint on the planetary surface is actually getting smaller, since population density is much greater in urban areas. Crop yields are on their way up and provided that we can solve the problem of German control of our bureaucracies we can ensure that there is sufficient food, water and energy for everyone. Prime Minister Boris Johnson made a start on energy this week, making a commitment to investing in nuclear fusion power in his with respect excellent speech to the Tory Party conference in Manchester on Wednesday. Fusion blows solar power into the weeds.
Headline of the week
Prize for the best headline in the last seven days goes to the Sun (of course!) last Saturday. They were covering the story of another victim of our ramshackle NHS, which managed to leave a drain in a testicle, with unfortunate results. The headline? Man lost testicle in hospital balls-up.
This Week’s Movie Review: Downton Abbey (2019, dir. Michael Engler)
Downton Abbey is one of the movie events of the year, at least in the UK. A spin-off from the famous TV series, unlike many spin-offs it avoids the mistake of departing from a tried and trusted formula.
Created by Julian Fellowes, Downton Abbey was a hugely popular TV series, deeply upsetting the left with its sympathetic portrayal of the aristocratic Crawley family. All the main characters from the series appear in the movie.
The plot revolves around a Royal Visit to Downton Abbey by Their Majesties King George V and Queen Mary. For once King George V and His Queen are portrayed as the decent human beings They were, with respect. I thought that Simon Jones was particularly convincing as George V.
David Haig is excellent as ‘Mr Wilson’ from the Royal Household. Much of the humor stems from the strained relationship between the Crawley household staff and the newcomers. Hugh Bonneville, as the Earl, Dame Maggie Smith, as the Dowager Countess, and Jim Carter as Mr Hudson the butler are each up to their usual standards.
It’s very well done, with high production standards, and will please the fans, of which I am one. Ironically enough I was introduced to Downton Abbey in a stately home owned by a friend of mine and former client, an hereditary peer. I rolled up, slightly late I’m afraid, in my Bentley, which seemed at home in the elegant surroundings. Dinner was served without ceremony on trays whilst we all sat down to watch the TV!
It’s the left-liberal middle class who are stuck up. In my experience, the upper class are usually charming, down to earth and very easy to get along with. Like the Earl of Grantham they are also decent and care for those who work for them.
Michael Shrimpton was a barrister from his call to the Bar in London in 1983 until being disbarred in 2019 over a fraudulently obtained conviction. He is a specialist in National Security and Constitutional Law, Strategic Intelligence and Counter-terrorism. He is a former Adjunct Professor of Intelligence Studies at the American Military University.