by Peter Koenig, …with New Eastern Outlook, Moscow

Peter Koenig is an economist and geopolitical analyst… 30 years with the World Bank 

[ Editor’s Note: This is our first posting of one of Peter’s NEOs – an article with the depth you would expect from someone who worked in his position. After Intel people, bankers see a lot of stuff; and because of their wide geographical coverage they can be good dot-connectors.

From Peter’s perch at the World Bank, he saw a lot of “pump-and-dump schemes” for which virtually no one is ever prosecuted. The typical scam is to bury a country in debt with loans that go into “development” projects, which the ruling elite loot and then transfer the profits out of the country.

When the scammers are eventually kicked out, the new government is faced with an almost hopeless task of surviving the debt load. When they fall short, they take their turn at being thrown out of office.

Occasionally we get someone like Maduro surviving, but only because the military has not been co-opted into staging a coup, which means the generals turned down a lot of money – and that is rareJim W. Dean ]

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Where the Haves, meet the Have Nots

– First published … November 02, 2019

The west has colonized, exploited, ravaged and assassinated the people of the Global South for hundreds of years. Up to the mid-20th Century Europe has occupied Africa, and large parts of Asia.

In Latin America, though much of the sub-Continent was “freed” from Spain and Portugal in the 19th Century – a new kind of colonization followed by the new Empire of the United States – under the so-called Monroe Doctrine, named after President James Monroe (1817 -1825), forbidding Europeans to interfere in any “American territory”.

Latin America was then and is again today considered Washington’s Backyard.

In the last ten years or so, Washington has launched the Monroe Doctrine 2.0. This time expanding the interference policy beyond Europe – to the world. Democratic sovereign governments in Latin America that could choose freely their political and economic alliances in the world are not tolerated.

China, entering into partnership agreements with Latin American countries, sought after vividly by the latter – is condemned by the US and the west, especially vassalic Europe.

Therefore, democratically elected center-left governments had to be “regime-changed’ – Honduras, Argentina, Chile, Ecuador, Brazil, Peru, Paraguay. So far, they stumbled over Venezuela, Cuba, Nicaragua – and maybe Mexico.

Venezuela and Cuba are being economically strangled to exhaustion. But they are standing tall as pillars in defending the Latin American Continent – with economic assistance and military advice from China and Russia.

***

Latin America is waking up – and so is Africa.

In Latin America, street protests against the US / IMF imposed debt trap and de consequential austerity programs, making the rich richer and the poor poorer, are raging in Honduras, Nicaragua, Ecuador, Chile, Argentina and even in Brazil. In Argentina, in a democratic election this past weekend, 27 October, the people deposed neoliberal President Macri.

He was put in the Presidency via “tricked” elections by Washington in 2015. Macri ruined the prosperous country in his 4 year-reign. He privatized public services and infrastructure, education, health, transportation – and more, leading to hefty tariff increases, worker layoffs, unemployment and poverty.

Poverty, at about 15% in 2015, when Macri took office, soared to over 40% in October 2019.

In 2018 Macri contracted the largest ever IMF loan of US$ 57.2 billion – a debt trap, if there was ever one. The new, just elected Fernandez-Fernandez center-left Government will have to devise programs to counter the impact of this massive debt.

All over in Latin America, people have had enough of the US / western imposed austerity and simultaneous exploitation of their natural resources. They want change – big style. They seek to detach from the economic and financial stranglehold of the west. They are looking for China and Russia as new partners in trade and in financial contracts.

The same in Africa – neocolonialism by the west, mostly France and the UK, through financial oppression, unfair trading deals and western imposed – and militarily protected – despotic and corrupt leaders, has kept Africa poor and desolate after more than 50 years of so-called Independence. Africa is arguably still the Continent with the most natural resources the west covets and needs to preserve its luxury life style and continuous armament.

People, who do not conform, especially younger politicians and economists, who protest and speak out, because they see clearly through the western imposed economic crimes committed on a daily basis, are simply assassinated or otherwise silenced.

Here too, Africans are quietly seeking to move out of the claws of the west, seeking new relations with China and Russia. The recent Russian-African summit in Sochi was a vivid example.

China is invited to build infrastructure, fast trains, roads, ports and industrial parks – and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is more than welcomed in Africa, as it projects common and equal development for all to benefit. BRI is the epitome for building a Community with a Shared Future for Mankind.

China also offers a gradual release from the US / western dominated dollar-debt claws. Freeing a country from the dollar-based economy, is freeing it from the vulnerability of US / western imposed sanctions. This is an enormous relief that literally every country of the Global South – and possibly even Europe – is hoping for.

However, as could be expected, the west, led by the US of A, is pouncing China for engaging in “debt trap diplomacy”. Exactly the contrary of what is actually happening.

The truth is, though, countries throughout the world, be it in Africa, Asia, South Pacific and Latin America, are choosing to partner with China by their free will. According to a statement by a high-level African politician “China does not force or coerce us into a deal, we are free to choose and negotiate a win-win situation.” – That says it all.

The difference between the west and east is stark. While anybody and any country that does not agree with the US dictate and doctrine, risks being regime-changed or bombed, China does not impose her new Silk Road – the BRI – to any country. China invites, respecting national sovereignty. Who wants to join is welcome to do so. That applies as much to the Global South, as it does to Europe.

China’s President Xi Jinping launched the BRI in 2013. In 2014 Mr. Xi visited Madame Merkel in Germany, offering her to be at that time the western-most link to the BRI. Ms. Merkel under the spell of Washington, declined.

President Xi returned and China continued working quietly on this fabulous worldwide economic development project – BRI – THE economic venture of the 21st Century, so massive that it was incorporated in 2017 into the Chinese Constitution.

It took the west however 6 years to acknowledge this new version of the more than 2000-year-old Silk Road. Only in 2019, the western mainstream media started reporting on the BRI – and always negatively, of course. The preaching was and still is – beware of the Chinese Dragon, they will dominate you and everything you own with their socialism.

This train of thought is typically western. Aggression seems to be in the genes of western societies, of western culture, as the hundreds of years of violent and despotic colonization and exploitation – and ongoing – are proving. Does it have to do with western monotheistic doctrines? – This is pure speculation, of course.

Again, the truth is multi-fold. – First, China does not have a history of invasion. China seeks a peaceful and egalitarian development of trade, science and foremost human wellbeing – a Tao tradition of non-aggression. Second, despite the “warnings” from the throne of the falling empire, about a hundred countries have already subscribed to participate in BRI – and that voluntarily.

And third, China and Russia and along with them the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) are in a solid economic and defense alliance which encompasses close to half of the world population and about one third of the globes total economic output.

Hence, SCO members are – or may be, if they so choose – largely detached from the dollar hegemony. The western privately run and Wall Street controlled monetary transfer system, SWIFT, is no longer needed by SCO countries. They deal in local currencies and / or through the Chinese Interbank Payment System (CIPS).

It is no secret, that the empire, headquartered in Washington, is gradually decaying, economically as well as militarily. It’s just a matter of time. How much time, is difficult to guess. But Washington’s everyday behavior of dishing out sanctions left and right, disrupting international monetary transactions, confiscating and stealing other countries assets around the world, puts ever more nails in the Empire’s coffin.

By doing this, America is herself committing economic and monetary suicide. Who wants to belong to a monetary system that can act willy-nilly to a county’s detriment? There is no need for outside help for this US-sponsored pyramid fiat monetary system to fall. It’s a house of cards that is already crumbling by its own weight.

The US dollar was some 20-25 years ago still to the tune of 90% the domineering reserve currency in the world. Today that proportion has declined to less than 60% – and falling. It is being replaced primarily by the Chinese yuan as the new reserve currency.

This is what the US-initiated trade war is all about – discrediting the yuan, a solid currency, based on China’s economy – and on gold. “Sanctioning” the Chinese economy with US tariffs, is supposed to hurt the yuan, to reduce its competition with the dollar as a world reserve currency. To no avail.

The yuan is a worldwide recognized solid currency, the currency of the second largest economy. By some standards, like accounted by PPP (Purchasing Power Parity), the most important socioeconomic indicator for mankind, China is since 2017 the world’s number one economy.

This, and other constant attacks by Washington, is a typical desperate gesture of a dying beast – thrashing wildly left and right and above and below around itself to bring down into its grave as many perceived adversaries as possible. There is of course a clear danger that this fight for the empire’s survival might end nuclear – god forbid!

China’s and Russia’s policy, philosophy and diplomacy of non-aggression may save the world from extinction – including the people of the United States of America.

Peter Koenig is an economist and geopolitical analyst. After working for over 30 years with the World Bank he penned Implosion, an economic thriller, based on his first-hand experience. Exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook.


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16 COMMENTS

  1. To Christopher M. Paul November 6, 2019 at 9:35 pm :
    You write: “I have obtained a good translation of “The Travels of Marco Polo”,…”, this must be a translation into some other language than English. To be blunt: There is no good nor even satisfactory translation of that book into the Enlish language. For a start, The original title was something like “A description of the World” in old french, written by one Ruttichello of Pisa, who also authured the stories about ‘King Arthur and the knites of the Round Table’ and other tales of kightly chivalry. Most early translations into Tuscan and Venetian dialects were known as “Il Millione” (which was a nick name for Marco Polo, and which meant not what we now in English call ‘a million’ but rather the Chinese numeral “wàn” (ten thousand) or the south and west Asian “crore” (a hundretd thousand). Almost all delete that Marco used so long time to get thru present-day Afghanistan due to “flux” — the diarrhea known as “The Sulfur Blurps of Kabul”.
    . The three Polos were spies for Venice (and for the Great Khan) and traitors to Europe (i.e. Hungary and Poland). It seems improbable that Marco, his father and his uncle traveled so extensively in present-day China as he told to Rusticello when the twain met as prisoners of the Genovese.

  2. Every day Americans are attacked with a barrage of lies from government and lying Israeli controlled media: Fake low interest rates the levels my parents had on their home in the 1940’s while the national debt is at astronomical levels whose actual levels are unknown. Many of the new homeowners of homes they can’t afford will be on the streets soon. Israeli bribed whores in Congress could care less today about the National Debt. Lies of 9/11/01 by Israel, Bush and Cheney and Four Star Generals. Tyranny of the Patriot Act by liars in Congress. Tyranny of illegal and unconstitutional searches and seizures at every airport in the country every day. Lies about the fake attack on the Pentagon on 9/11/01. The banking system could collapse at any instant. Totally corrupt courts are lying about false flag attacks Sandy Hook. Any one can be arrested and jailed indefinitely without any charges or court hearing except those who really should be like the president and all of Congress. For more watch and listen to former U.S. Marine Ken O’keefe at LAX in 2016. America is a cesspool today and getting worse every day. The 2nd Amendment is under attack. Americans are too lazy, happy and fooled and stupid to do anything about it all as their country goes down the drain quickly.

  3. The West during 500 years robbed godlessly the whole world. The very foundation of Western capitalist well-being was economic racketeering and robbery. The strong took away from the weak. Those who did not give up their resources were simply physically destroyed. They betrayed my country, robbed in the 90s. Enough!
    In the modern world, states that are becoming new economic centers are starting to raise their heads. Instead of changing his mind, Uncle Sam continues, sniffing cocaine, to threaten the whole world with colt. Yes, he is still strong. But I’m sure: at the very moment the Colt misfires, the stronger countries will simply tear it to pieces. The time has not come yet… Do US peoples need it? No. Just as I would not want to.

    • “They betrayed my country, robbed in the 90s. Enough!” – Most Americans know nothing of this. It was then and much of it is still classified as it was a modern Genghis Khan pillaging. It had a smokescreen of being an “internal struggle”.

    • I have obtained a good translation of “The Travels of Marco Polo”, a Venetian who got caught on the wrong side of The Lines and ended up in the Court of The Great Khan. His travels took him to all corners of The Greatest Empire Ever Known to Man. The Mongols took over in China. Anyone can note Putin saying that Russia is surrounded by Bases, but History teaches that attacking The Heartland with lengthening Lines of Supply viz a viz the opposite for the opposition is problematical. Hitler never even got close to the Tractor factories East of The Urals and the Russians had 30,000 tanks against the Germans 3,000, with Division after Division of T34s coming over the horizon. Russia invaded Siberia as the USA did to The West of America. Lord Acton said that Bad Men attain Power and Power Corrupts – about the Pope. That applies to Secular Power and usually The Catholic Church works on the Principle of The Lesser Evil. Playing the Badder off against the Baddest. Watch this space.

    • There he goes again. Mr Dean and his wild fantasies of clean hands. The vast majority of the world doesn’t blame your politicians. It wasnt the politicians who shot, bombed and raped other people’s freedoms; it was americans themselves. The skull and bones mercenaries. The satanic pentagram military. Who 80% of Murkans worship cause it’s their own kids. Even fake-Christian churches supportvthe satanic pentagram military. I can’t think of any other gov’t organization made up of so many american families as the satanic pentagram military. You cant tell wrong from right? This has been going on for over a century, these overseas adventures. Believe you me… You’re screwed in God’s eyes.

  4. China’s policies re: West Asia, Latin America, and Africa are superior to America’s for all the reasons the author has outlined. China takes a commercial (common sense and logical) route while America destroys potential trade partners from the inside-out and then ends up self-destructing any bridges to future profit centers by retreating with sanctions, a very transparent telegraph that America intends to return with violence later. America’s longevity requires an improved commercial strategy and a reshaping of the internal monetary system, which dictates that a for-profit war complex is desirable and even safeguards one by lethal force internally. Long overdue are people following through on many American proposals by various indivs to review and alter the Monroe Doctrine and to propose a reasonable competitive economic system to China’s BRI. My estimate is that the loss of disengaging from current scenarios is well worth the benefit of long-term re-calibration. America will have advantage in public narratives if it is the vanguard against Chinese/Russian expansion rather than allowing the latter to always be the defenders against American imperialism. Ironically, posturing defensively like that often allows the most dominant (infiltrating) game.

    • Said differently, if I were an American strategist in the early 20th century knowing then what I know today, I would have proposed that America occupy Canada (industrial resources) and Mexico (cheap labor) clandestinely, and I would have approached the Central/South American countries along the lines of a Marshall Plan that would have strengthened — not destabilized — my entire south flank. I would utilize my inborn diverse resources to create a diplomatic corps. with the faces of every nation. In that same vein, I would use those inborn assets to strengthen relations with South America and across the Atlantic to Africa, up through West Asia, and back to Europe. A “U” shaped corridor that monopolizes the Atlantic versus the much “wider” Pacific. To be able to do that, I obv. would have proposed Israelis like Kissinger or Brzezinski stop leading the milking of America to build Israel. I also wouldn’t have engaged in wars that threaten inborn populations of ethnic groups (scenarios that can lead to the internment of Americans on racist bases). For example, America is waging war on behalf of Saudi Arabia, who has only thousands of people in America at best (most of them royals obv), while it also has over one million Iranians who are now Americans. Why would America alienate 1+ million of its citizens and drive racist propaganda against them, dividing America internally? This has to be the agenda of anti-Americans.

    • The Rothschilds thought of that one before the USA Civil War, with the South to take over Mexico and the North, including Canada to Industrialise: one to manage all the slaves and the other to manage the banking and industry. The Classic Dialectic of Labour Versus Usury.

  5. While the United States of America`s empire is gradually crumbling under the weight of its atrocities
    Around the globe, China and Russia seem to be spreading their influences by bringing stability and prosperity in any country or region they get involved in.
    “History is littered with the ruins of empires.” Not all America’s downward spiral is cased by its imperial ambitions. There are rogue elements within the United States government (enemies within) who are destroying the whole fabric of america’s society. that includes social, cultural, economy, technology, military, and industry. We hear it in the news here and there America’s technology, military, or industrial secrets stolen and sold to China or Russia.

    • The U.S. of A. is not really an “empire” in that sense. We are rugged individualists, gosh darn it! These are two vast constructs which are generalizations, but they did a GREAT job with that mash-up, didn’t they! Re-branding of what they wanted this nation to be, or not ?? Here’s the Empire Building Recipe: For Dummies 101 ~ We start corporations, like Coca Cola for example. That individual company, rumored to have added a touch of cocaine for that added pick-me-up during the “great” depression, offered more than a jolt. It offered jobs <——— that's what we do good here, if anyone is paying attention. After we got rid of child labor in the coal mines, Russian Jewish slave labor in the garment industry, and crap like that. Anyway . . . Bottling, distribution, etc., etc. Russia had vodka to get them through it all. We had cocaine in our soda pop. Drink up kids! And that's how Empires are born.

      To market, to market . . . what started out as a small operation, look at them now. Heck, wars are waged just to get the f'ing cola franchise in SE Asia . . . Vietnam's other cash cow.
      A large corporation gets to buy out individual companies, and in that sense, yeah, okay. Empire. Because we now have SIX monopolies, err, I mean very legitimate — no! they didn't commit hostile take overs – ever – in their conglomerations of hungry, hungry hippo-crates. I digress. The are only 6'ish corporations running A LOT of the gobbled up food brand names. Just sayin'

  6. There is some mistakes in article, I like to make a few clarifications about Argentina with Macri government in the last 4 years. The author said, he ruined the prosperous country in his 4 year-reign (not so prosperous), he’s right, he did. Also said he privatized public services and infrastructure, education, health, transportation and more, that’s wrong, all that, was privatized in the 90’s, what Macri did was allow to public services dollarize fees, and allow charge what they want, in a country where the people receives her wage in local currency wich drop in last 4 years 7 times his value against American dollar. Macri contracted the largest ever IMF loan of US$ 57.2 billion because America it’s the main contributor on IMF and because there is a Macri personal friendship with Trump, wich is from long time before when Macri father do mobster bussines with Trump in New York with real estate developments at the end of 80’s and begining 90’s. Was a Trump direct order to IMF authorize loan.

    • Not at all Jim, there is a story about Trump and Franco Macri, the father of current president, which according to legend, one time Franco he wants take advantage and make shrewd and Trump called him and told he have 24 hours to leave New York, or he would be throw at the bottom of Hudson river. Franco quickly got a plane and never come back to NY for many years, and he leave his son, the current president, to sign all documents remaining of deal in process between they at that moment…. 🙂