Note: The real numbers come from “resolved cases”
The real death numbers are, at this point, 26 percent of all tested, an aggregate figure but the best we have. It had been as high as 26% and is coming down slowly.
Problem is, this figure gives us around 450k dead with a low of 360k dead. After Trump read this on VT (he is a fan), he put out his new 240k figure hoping to jump it up later when people are so grief stricken they won’t notice.
Changing this figure is key, only when it comes down to the fake expected 5% figure will be be where Fauci predicted and that’s not going to happen.
NYTimes: Here is America’s coronavirus curve: the number of newly reported cases each day. The curve has started declining moderately from the peak in early April.
But that’s not the whole story. Separate the region around New York City and the picture becomes far less rosy.
Also remove the regions around Detroit and New Orleans — other cities with large outbreaks in early April — and the national trend is clearer: After a brief plateau, cases in America continue to climb.
During the early days of the pandemic, the public’s attention was fixed on various models, each showing a steep upswing, with cases steadily increasing each day, followed by the tail-end of the curve as cases fade away.
Americans saw, with increasing dread, the predicted upswing in the national numbers. Then, over the last couple of weeks, it stopped.
And yet, forecasters are projecting even more deaths on the horizon. A leaked document obtained by The New York Times projected more than 3,000 people could die each day by the end of May. Another historically conservative model, favored by the Trump administration, just doubled its projected death toll, too.
The tail-end of the national epidemic is not materializing.
“If you just look at the total number of cases, you’re going to miss what’s underneath it,” said Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota. “It’s not a leveling-off. It’s a painful handoff.”
America’s current “plateau” isn’t good news, he said. Infections from the earliest-hit metropolitan areas are now spawning outbreaks of their own across the country.