[ Editor’s Note: I feared this is where we would end up on getting a revived JCPOA deal. Both sides are intent on not ‘losing face’. The new Iran regime would look weak in allowing its former JCPOA partners to continue stiffing it on the original deal, or even thinking about renegotiating a new deal.
The latter group has zero credibility, put on full display with its insistence that Iran come back under Western nuclear sanctions when Iran’s arch enemy, a fully nuclear weaponized Israel, leaves the Western clowns pretending that leaving the Zionists as the only major nuclear power in the region is somehow a good thing for the rest of us.
Simply put, the Western JCPOA members have consistently refused to provide Iran the economic benefits of the deal. The US went further in imposing even more sanctions on Iran at the behest of the Israelis, who have much control of US foreign policy, but no one in the US government seems to acknowledge what an incredible security risk that is for us.
As a cheap diversion, even the Democrats under Biden feel that politically they also have to stiff Iran on the JCPOA via offering a ‘renegotiated’ deal, but don’t want to call it that. They fear the domestic political fallout on top of all the other political chaos.
As habitual risk avoiders, it will be easier for the Dems to blame any Iran deal blow up on Iran, which, several plays on the chessboard later, gains them no advantage, since the Repubs will team up with Israel to demand military action against Iran and hammer Biden if he does not, screaming that ‘he is weak’.
As Gordon does so love to say, “Welcome to how the world really works.” We are just along for the ride on the foreign policy issues. Our Congress will always serve Israel’s interests over ours, as the American public does not have nuclear weapons to use on our government, as Israel does. And that is one hell of a bite in the behind… Jim W. Dean ]
First published November 30, 2021
In a sense, the world has been here before. As Iran advanced its nuclear program prior to the 2015 deal, much of the same brinkmanship was at play, including Israel’s insistence that it would use military force to destroy the Iranian program.
But the stakes are arguably higher now. Iran’s nuclear program — which Tehran has always maintained is for peaceful purposes, not a bomb — is more advanced, and Iranian leaders are less optimistic about the benefits of potential sanctions relief.
Just this past week, Iranian officials were unwilling to strike an agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency, a U.N. body, to restore some of its access to inspect Iranian nuclear sites — behavior that rang alarm bells in Europe and led to warnings from Washington, but did not result in a censure resolution against Iran as some regime critics had hoped.
…“It’s tough to look at the current situation and not have a fairly bleak outlook,” said Henry Rome, an Iran analyst with the Eurasia Group. “Expectations are extremely low for any progress.”
…“I think it’s important to understand that the main goal of the new Iranian regime is to portray strength and intransigence,” a Western diplomat familiar with the nuclear negotiations told POLITICO. “Economic calculations currently don’t play such a big role.”