By Russia Today
While both Moscow and Kiev think they will benefit from continued fighting, such a turn of events does not serve Washington’s best interests, the Pentagon’s think tank RAND Corporation argues in a new report published on Friday.
Authored by Samuel Charap and Miranda Priebe, “Avoiding a Long War” accepts the prevailing premises about the conflict, but notes that US interests “often align with but are not synonymous with Ukrainian interests.”
According to the authors, the conflict has already inflicted significant economic, military and reputational damage on Russia, so its “further incremental weakening is arguably no longer as significant a benefit for US interests.”
The price to the West has not been insignificant either, from the disruption to energy, food and fertilizer markets to the cost of “keeping the Ukrainian state economically solvent,” which will only “multiply over time.”
NATO’s military aid to Ukraine “could also become unsustainable after a certain period,” while Russia may “reverse Ukrainian battlefield gains,” they said. The conflict is “absorbing senior policymakers’ time and US military resources,” distracting Washington from other global priorities, such as China, while pushing Moscow closer to Beijing.
In short, the consequences of a long war – ranging from persistent elevated escalation risks to economic damage – far outweigh the possible benefits.
The study describes President Vladimir Zelensky’s vision of victory, in which Ukraine would recover all the territories it lays claim to and force Russia to submit to war crimes trials and reparations, as “optimistic” and “improbable.”
Moscow, “perceives this war to be near existential” and has signaled “a high level of resolve,” the authors caution, raising the probability it might use nuclear weapons if it feels threatened.
Prospects for some kind of negotiated peace are “poor in the near term,” the report acknowledges, as Kiev believes Western support will continue indefinitely, while Moscow has been given no reason to believe the sanctions will ever be lifted.
The US could “condition future military aid on a Ukrainian commitment to negotiations,” while giving Kiev security commitments, but “not as binding as US mutual defense treaties” or NATO membership, the report suggested. Washington should also give Moscow assurances regarding Ukraine’s neutrality and set “conditions for sanctions relief.”
Founded in 1948 by the US military-industrial complex, RAND has provided the Pentagon with policy advice for decades. In 2019, the think tank provided a blueprint for “overextending and unbalancing” Russia that included economic sanctions, sending weapons to Ukraine, promoting uprisings in Central Asia and even deploying more nuclear weapons to Europe. By contrast, the advice on how to avoid escalation with Moscow while arming Kiev, from July last year, seems to have had little to no effect.
Jonas E. Alexis has degrees in mathematics and philosophy. He studied education at the graduate level. His main interests include U.S. foreign policy, the history of the Israel/Palestine conflict, and the history of ideas. He is the author of the book, Kevin MacDonald’s Metaphysical Failure: A Philosophical, Historical, and Moral Critique of Evolutionary Psychology, Sociobiology, and Identity Politics. He teaches mathematics in South Korea.
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The Ukainian war triggers the economic war between the West and Russia. As Mr. Alexis wrote, NATO thoughts were to make it expensive for Russia to break it. And the Russians knew it, when they started the invasion. And they think let’s break NATO in economic warfare. For Ukraine’s oligarchs it is a top business model to be drowned in western money, anyway who wins this war. As longer this money is floating so better the deal & business is. What this thinktank states, is the perspective to lose the economic war against Russia. Nuland will make history as the responsable US politician for the US’ defeat in Europe.
Why did the US/NATO start a bloody WAR against Yugoslavia? Yugoslavia was split up along territories, nationalities and that, US/NATO onslaught was called JUSTIFIED! Well, Ukraine is a very similar Entity, made up of territories, nationalities, of Russian, Polish, Moldovan, Hungarian, Byelorussian, Rumanian regions! Why a bloody War to keep Ukraine together, when a similar state was split apart? Apply to the Ukraine the same JUSTICE and END the bloody conflict! Return the territories, and populations-nationalities, to the respective, Mother/Fatherlands and no more killings, bloodshed, suffering and the danger of a ‘Nuclear Armageddon’! Who are against Justice and Peace?
This would lead into a further debate of former occupied territories, let’s mention Trianon for the Hungarians, and the eastern territories of Germany.
Investigative journalist, Lonnie Wolfe says: “The Nazi state was created by the same oligarchical financial and political interests who today control what we call the mass media and television. Forget about whatever stories you have seen on television about how Hitler came to power: His path to power was cleared by the same oligarchs who employ the brainwashers that program your television. Over a period of years, following the First World War, Germany was brutalized by the economic policy of this international elite. Hitler’s Nazis were funded and promoted as a political option, and then steered into power in 1932-1933″.
August 25, 2017
In the late 1960s and early ’70s, RAND released a series of reports that helped cable television spread far and wide. At the time, cable systems weren’t allowed to broadcast distant TV stations for fear that they would compete with local broadcasters. The FCC relaxed the restrictions in 1972, and the industry as we know it was born.
“The new systems will mean that television can be used for many new services,” researchers Paul Baran and Martin Greenberger wrote in 1967. As examples, they cited the ability to shop, bank, and vote without leaving your home, and they envisioned two-way communication for “group dialogues” that would turn residents, governments, schools, and other institutions into “one happy electronic clan.”
From the RAND website.
There is no evidence for it, until now the usual fairy tales You tell us. The only evidence for financial support in favour of the Nationalsocialists were 22 Mio. US$ campaign election support, a lot of money during the early 30s, spent by Henry Ford, a convinced nationalsocialist on US soil. This is comparable with the Clinton foundation who supported Yelstin in 1996 with 500 mio. US$ for his election campaign.